China to Commission J-20 in 2017 for Annihilation of US Force in AsiaPosted: June 26, 2016
Mil.news.sina.com.cn says in its report yesterday that according to the relatively reliable report by an authoritative media, in an interview with a military situation column, a Chinese military expert, a retired senior colonel who was a grade-one test pilot, reveals that a few minor defects in J-20 will not hinder the delivery of the first batch of J-20s to Chinese air force in 2017 because the air force needs them urgently.
Why the urgency?
The US has the wrong strategy of sending 60% of its military to Asia near China instead of having its navy remain outside Chinese weapons’ range to dominate the oceans.
As a result, China has the wise strategy of annihilating the 60% so that the 40% left will not be able to cut China’s trade lifelines in the oceans easily.
That was why I said in my previous post that China needed J-20s to grab air supremacy from F22s urgently. With air supremacy, China’s ballistic missiles, H-6K bombers, J-16 fighters/bombers, other fighter jets and navy will be able to annihilate all US air force and navy within their range if US warplanes and warships do not try to flee.
Annihilation has been PLA’s battle style for decades. It does not want to drive the enemy away. It simply wants to wipe out attacking enemy.
The US is wrong in regarding China’s strategy as A2/AD, i.e. resisting enemy attack. It ignores China’s declaration about China’s strategy being active defense, i.e. attack for defense.
Therefore, China’s plan is to launch thundering all-round attack at US air force and navy in Asia as soon as the US begins to attack China. That is why Xi Jinping has ordered Chinese troops to conduct busy military drills and be always ready to fight. For such a plan, China needs J-20 urgently.
The expert says that of course, J-20 is not 100% perfect now. It must have some minor defects but a fighter jet can be delivered to the military as long as it has no flight problem and is 80% satisfactory. That is because a mature fighter jet has to be perfected through actual military use. There has to be continuous improvement to make it 100% satisfactory. In other words, batch production and commissioning is not the end of research and development.
In response to China’s development of J-20, the US plans to resume production of F22. However, as J-20 is a later development, it has incorporated lots of new technologies that have emerged after the finalization of the design of F22. The existing F22 is no rival to J-20.
To be J-20’s rival, F22 shall also incorporate such technologies. However, there has to be difficult rearrangement of the layout inside F22 to install in a new version of F22 the required equipment of the new technologies. That takes time. In addition, the US has to recruit and train a work force of 20,000 for production and maintenance of F22 and write complicated new software to control it. As a result, China’s J-20 will be perfected long before the emergence of US new F22.
Moreover, a new improved F22 will perhaps cost US$1 billion, which may be too expensive for the US.
The expert seems quite optimistic that China’s J-20 will grab air supremacy from US F22.
Source: mil.news.sina.com.cn “Depth Column: Expert says air force urgently needs J-20, 15 of which will be produced a year to equip 10 regiments” (summary by Chan Kai Yee based on the report in Chinese)