Trump Makes Clear His Intention to Use Taiwan to Pressure ChinaPosted: December 12, 2016
In my post “Trump Shrewder than Media Imagine” on December 10, I said:
Trump precisely tried to pressure China by his well-planned phone call with Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen.
Militarily, the US lacks geographical advantages in attacking China with its powerful navy. Attacker must be in an advantageous position; therefore, Obama’s pivot to Asia centered on the South China Sea militarily is stupid.
However, if the US defends Taiwan when China attacks Taiwan, the US has geographical advantages by using Taiwan’s military bases especially the well fortified air base on the east side of Taiwan with the cover of high hills. With ground support from Taiwan and Okinawa, F-22s deployed in Taiwan will be able to fight with China’s J-20s for air supremacy.
However, Reuters shows its surprise by saying, “Trump followed this (the visit) by saying he would nominate Iowa Governor Terry Branstad, a long-standing friend of Beijing, as the next U.S. ambassador to China, a move which that country’s state news agency said was a positive sign for ties.”
I pointed out in the post what Trump wants politically:
What Trump really wants? He wants concessions from China including promise not to militarize its artificial islands in the South China Sea, or put military pressure on Taiwan and pressure North Korea not to conduct nuclear or missile tests.
I pointed out in my “Japan Will Suffer if Trump Gets What He Wants from China” yesterday that Trump wants economically:
He only wants China to abide by WTO rules that China has promised to abide by, so as to make China respect US intellectual property rights, reduce unfair import taxes on US goods and not to control the exchange rate of Chinese currency.
Reuters says in its report “Trump says U.S. not necessarily bound by ‘one China’ policy” today that Trump has revealed his intention to use Taiwan as his bargaining chip to get concessions from China in his recent interview with Fox News when he said:
I fully understand the ‘one China’ policy, but I don’t know why we have to be bound by a ‘one China’ policy unless we make a deal with China having to do with other things, including trade.
Reuters points out that Trump revealed what he wants from China in his interview with Fox News. It quotes Trump as saying:
We’re being hurt very badly by China with devaluation, with taxing us heavy at the borders when we don’t tax them, with building a massive fortress in the middle of the South China Sea, which they shouldn’t be doing, and frankly with not helping us at all with North Korea. You have North Korea. You have nuclear weapons and China could solve that problem and they’re not helping us at all.
Trump adopts carrot and stick strategy to attain his goal. Appointment of Terry Branstad is the carrot while Taiwan is the stick.
I pointed out in my post yesterday that Trump will be able to get the concession he wants:
China is carrying out the reforms to enable Chinese enterprises and people to develop intellectual property, especially the patents and trademarks for its products in world market. For that, it has to respect others’ intellectual property.
In its reform, China wants its currency to become a major international currency so that it has to let market determine the exchange rate of its currency.
China has to follow WTO’s rules on import tax and Trump only wants China to abide by the rules. There will be no difficulties for China to treat imports from the US fairly.
As for North Korea, China has been trying its best.
That is proved by Reuters’ report today titled “China puts temporary ban on North Korean coal imports”.
As for the artificial islands in the South China Sea, if the US does not put military pressure on China there, China has no excuse to break its promise not to militarize the islands.
Comment by Chan Kai Yee on Reuters’ reports, full text of which can respectively found at http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-china-idUSKBN1400TY and http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-nuclear-un-china-idUSKBN14007R.