Lucky US to Have a Wise Leader Trump to Stop Its DeclinePosted: February 5, 2017
US new president Donald Trump clearly knows that the US is declining and urgently needs a thorough reform to reinvigorate its economy.
He knows well that China is the major rival the US has to deal with, but it is a very difficult issue. He has to deal with easier ones first for US benefits.
He scrapped TPP and wants to substitute it with bilateral arrangements with each TPP country to enable the US to obtain maximum gains from each and every of them. He has thus abolished US long-established practice of making multilateral arrangements that benefit US allies at the cost of the US such as TPP, NAFTA and NATO.
Due to US strength as a superpower, it will be easy for the US to obtain concessions from others through bilateral negotiations.
Trump’s wisest strategy is improvement of US relations with Russia. The conflict between Russia and the West is mainly a conflict between EU and Russia. The US shall not take EU’s burden to deal with Russia. On the contrary, the US shall obtain gains from both EU and Russia in the conflict.
Some analysts believe that Trump wants to unite with Russia to deal with China. That is certainly a wise idea but difficult to realize as it is hard for the US to break the firmly established de facto Russia-China alliance as so much interests are involved.
The US cannot replace China to become the greatest buyers of Russia’s natural resources and provider of cheap industrial goods. Nor is the US able to provide Russia with immigrants to Russia’s cold and barren Far East to help Russia develop its vast Far East.
Anyway, Trump is wise in adopting his strategies. The problem is that neither Russian leader Putin nor Chinese leader Xi Jinping is less wise; therefore, only win-win cooperation is the way out for the three leaders. Putin and Xi have achieved that. It tests Trump’s wisdom and tact to achieve that.
Whatever the outcome of the three leaders’ diplomacy, I am sure Trump will improve US economy as the US will certainly obtain concessions from other countries.
It will be a much safer world if there are three equal superpowers China, Russia and the US. Whenever one becomes too strong and aggressive, the other two will unite to oppose it and prevent its dominance of the world. That is perhaps my wishful thinking hard to become reality. However, Russia and China, though not equal superpowers to the US, are now able to prevent US dominance of the world with their de facto alliance.
Article by Chan Kai Yee