Taiwan News’ article “Beijing fails to congratulate Taiwan KMT’s new chairman” yesterday speculates the reason for the breaking of the convention to congratulate the election of KMT’s new chairman. The failure to congratulate may mean that Beijing is unhappy that KMT may abandon the “1992 Consensus” that Beijing regards as the basis for peaceful reunification with Taiwan.
KMT abandons the consensus as it has to win over Taiwan’s young voters who tend to advocate independence. This trend will grow if Taiwan remains separate from China.
That being the case, arms reunification will be the only alternative. The Chinese Communist Party will never allow Taiwan’s separation from China to be permanent as it will be very unpopular among Mainland people and will make it a criminal in Chinese history.
For thousands of years, China is a united country. I was split occasionally for some time but was always reunited ultimately.
Comment by Chan Kai Yee on Taiwan News’ article, full text of which can be viewed at https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3893545.
China is stepping up pressure on self-ruled Taiwan a month ahead of the inauguration of a president from a pro-independence party Beijing distrusts, signaling a rocky start for the leader of the island elected on a wave of anti-China sentiment.
In the past few weeks, China has established ties with former Taiwan ally Gambia, sent a top general to inspect troops based in a frontline province and scooped up dozens of Taiwanese from Kenya wanted in China for fraud – a move denounced by Taipei as being more about politics than crime.
And Taiwan said a hotline meant to expedite direct communication between the top government officials dealing with each other’s affairs had not been answered by China twice at critical times of late.
China regards Taiwan as a wayward province to be taken back by force if necessary and wants the new government to stick to the “one China” policy agreed upon with the outgoing China-friendly Nationalist government.
Only 22 countries recognize Taiwan as the “Republic of China”, with most, including Kenya, having diplomatic relations with the “People’s Republic of China”, with its leaders in Beijing.
Taiwan is one of China’s most sensitive political issues, and a core concern for the Communist Party, trumping even Beijing’s claims in the South China Sea.
Since Tsai Ing-wen and her Democratic Progressive Party won Taiwan’s presidential and parliamentary elections by a landslide in January, Beijing has repeatedly warned it will be watching closely what she does. Tsai takes office on May 20.
At risk are ties that had warmed considerably when Ma Ying-jeou of the Nationalists was elected Taiwan president in 2008, ushering in regular high-level exchanges and overseeing the signing of a series of landmark economic deals.
China’s Communist Party-controlled state media has not minced its words about what is at stake.
Chen Qinhao, a Taiwan expert at Beijing’s elite Tsinghua University, wrote in the official People’s Daily this week that Tsai risks ending lines of communication between China and Taiwan if she does not explain her policy on China.
“It won’t be a matter of there being a ‘high season’ or a ‘low season’ in cross-Taiwan Strait relations,” Chen wrote. “When it comes to the authoritative consultation mechanisms between the two sides, I fear it will totally shut down.”
In Taipei, officials are reading the tea leaves, too.
The island’s normally secretive top security agency said the Gambia move was to pressure Tsai to “fall in line with China’s expectations” once in office.
Throughout, Tsai, who has said she wants peace with China and to maintain the status quo, has spoken only via her Facebook or through her party.
“Beijing has no right to represent us on matters involving the deportation of Taiwanese,” she wrote on Facebook last week about the forcible deportation of Taiwan nationals to China from Kenya, even as her top national security adviser called China’s move “completely unhelpful” for ties between the two sides.
Taiwan says China has at times been deliberately avoiding talks.
China’s most senior official in charge of Taiwan affairs was not in his office when Taipei scrambled to raise Zhang Zhijun in March about the Gambia case on a hotline set up to expedite communication between the two sides.
It took at least two days before a call could be connected last week about the Kenya matter, according to Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council.
“What is this? Deliberate indifference,” said DPP senior Liu Shyh-fang.
China’s Taiwan Affairs Office did not respond to a request for comment.
China, for its part, has been incensed by the uproar over the telecoms fraud cases, saying they are simply a criminal matter.
China accused Taiwan over the weekend of disregarding Chinese victims in a case in Malaysia involving Taiwanese suspects after they were freed upon their arrival back in Taiwan. Taipei said it did not have enough evidence to detain the individuals.
Some of the attacks in Chinese state media about the telecoms fraud cases have been deeply personal, even if Tsai was not directly named.
The People’s Daily, in a front page commentary in its overseas edition on Tuesday, lambasted “certain representatives of popular will who sit idly by on their high salaries and votes they’ve won” to portray themselves as saviors and heroes rather than thinking about fighting crime.
Beijing wants Tsai to clearly state what her policy is on relations with China, but she is keeping quiet.
In the background, China’s military lurks.
Xu Qiliang, a vice chairman of the Central Military Commission which runs China’s military, last week visited Fujian province, which lies opposite Taiwan, urging troops to strengthen efforts to form strong armed forces.
Last month, the military commemorated a key but little-known victory against Nationalist forces following their fleeing to Taiwan in 1949 at the end of the Chinese civil war, in a reminder China’s military still considers the island one of its strategic priorities.
“We must shout out the words ‘reunify Taiwan’,” Wang Hongguang, a lieutenant general and former deputy commander of China’s Nanjing military region, wrote in an online commentary last month.
(Editing by Nick Macfie)
Source: Reuters “China steps up pressure on Taiwan ahead of president’s inauguration”
The landslide victory of pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in recent Taiwan presidential and parliament elections has given rise to worries about possible tension across Taiwan Strait. Now, according to Reuters report “Taiwan angers China by releasing 20 deported telecom fraud suspects”, not only the pro-independence DPP but also the pro-Beijing KMT that will remain in power till May, is doing something to anger Beijing. There seems to be no optimistic prospects for Cross-strait relations.
Comments by Chan Kai Yee on Reuters report “Taiwan angers China by releasing 20 deported telecom fraud suspects”, full text of which is set forth below:
Taiwan angers China by releasing 20 deported telecom fraud suspects
Sat Apr 16, 2016 12:53pm EDT
Taiwan angered Beijing on Saturday by freeing 20 suspects in a telecom fraud case linked to China that has put more pressure on the sensitive relationship between the two countries.
Malaysia had deported the 20 people, who were part of a group of 53 Taiwanese arrested there in March on suspicion of fraud, according to the Taipei foreign ministry.
Taiwan’s Executive Yuan spokesman Sun Lih-chyun told Reuters there was no legal reason to detain them.
“The evidence is not with us. It is with China,” he said, noting that Taipei has been talking to Chinese counterparts on the matter so investigations can begin on the self-ruled island.
The decision was not welcomed by China.
“By releasing the suspects, Taiwan authorities disregarded many victims’ interests and harmed them a second time. It also harmed the two sides’ cooperation in jointly cracking down on crimes,” state-run Xinhua quoted An Fengshan, the Chinese State Council’s Taiwan Affairs Office spokesman, as saying.
Taiwan should give the suspects “the punishment they deserve”, An was quoted by the news agency as saying.
In a statement issued Saturday, Taiwan’s cabinet said that the government would not shield people suspected of crime and that it had instructed the Ministry of Justice to gather information for investigation.
Taiwan’s justice ministry sent a formal letter requesting China’s public security bureau to provide information on the crime once it knew the 20 suspected Taiwanese were returning to Taiwan from Malaysia, the statement said.
Separately, Taiwan has objected to the forcible deportation of more than 40 Taiwanese people to China from Kenya also on suspicion of telecom fraud.
China’s Ministry of Public Security says Taiwanese people have been heavily involved in telecom fraud in China and had caused huge losses, with some victims killing themselves.
Taiwanese criminals “have been falsely presenting themselves as law enforcement officers to extort money from people on the Chinese mainland through telephone calls”, its has said.
(Reporting by John Ruwitch in SHANGHAI and J.R. Wu in TAIPEI; Editing by Louise Ireland)
Reuters says in its report “Taiwan youth to China: Treat us like a country”. In the report, Reuters believes that it means that those Taiwan youth wants independence. Perhaps so, but at least they are wise in their wording. They want China to treat Taiwan like instead of as a country.
What is the difference?
There is a world of difference. They know the benefits that close relations with China have brought to Taiwan and want to keep the benefits. They know that China will attack Taiwan if Taiwan declares independence and want to avoid that.
That is why Tsai Ing-wen, the president candidate of the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party, Taiwan’s major opposition party, advocates maintaining the status quo instead pursuing independence in her electoral manifesto.
In fact, at stake is Taiwan’s democracy. As long as China respects Taiwan’s democratic political system, Taiwan will not seek independence. However, that is not a problem as China has repeatedly declared that it respects Taiwan’s political system. The youth movements show their concern whether China will honor its promise.
Therefore, no matter what extremist actions Taiwan youth will take, there will be no problem for China as the United States does not support Taiwan’s independence. Therefore, if Taiwan declares independence. China can simply bring Taiwan to its knees by blockade instead of military attacking that may cause serious damages to Taiwan.
On the other hand, if China tries to change Taiwan’s political system so as to put an end to Taiwan’s democracy, the United States will protect Taiwan with its navy that is much stronger than China’s. Moreover, China will be isolated in the world if it does so.
This blogger believes, the status quo will be maintained for a lime to come.
Article by Chan Kai Yee in response to Reuters’ report.
The following is the full text of Reuters’ report:
Taiwan youth to China: Treat us like a country
TAIPEI | By Michael Gold Tue Jun 30, 2015 5:09pm EDT
Young Taiwan activists have tied themselves up in chains, blocked mountain roads, scaled fences and thrown red paint balloons in a wave of anti-China sentiment likely to turn the island’s politics on its head in January’s presidential election.
An energetic and fast-growing youth movement, united in suspicion of economic and cultural dependence on China, is expected to sweep in a president from a party which favors independence from China, something Communist Party rulers across the narrow Taiwan Strait will never allow.
“When my generation comes of age, Taiwan’s cross-strait attitude is going to be very different,” said student movement leader Huang Yen-ju. “We want China to treat us like a country.”
China views self-ruled Taiwan as a renegade province and has not ruled out the use of force to bring it under its control. But relations have improved in recent years.
President Ma Ying-jeou, of the pro-China Nationalist Party, has signed a series of trade and economic pacts with China, though there have been no political talks and suspicions persist on both sides, especially in proudly democratic Taiwan.
Ma leaves office in January under term-limit regulations and many youngsters are backing the candidate from the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Tsai Ing-wen.
If Tsai wins, and more independence-minded parties gain control of parliament, as expected, tensions between China and Taiwan are bound to rise. Tsai is running about 10 percentage points ahead in opinion polls, but they can be inaccurate, particularly as her Nationalist Party rival has not been officially nominated and the elections are still months away.
Asked about the January election, a spokesman for China’s Taiwan Affairs Office said recently: “We welcome any Taiwan party or person, as long as they oppose Taiwan independence.”
The trouble for China is that independence is exactly what Taiwan’s youth movement wants.
Activists in their teens and twenties have taken to the streets en masse in recent months, brandishing banners, shouting slogans, scuffling with police and attempting to force their way into government offices.
The scale and duration, while small compared to recent pro-democracy demonstrations in Hong Kong, reflect the same fears about Beijing’s “one country, two systems” formula under which Hong Kong, a former British colony, returned to Chinese rule exactly 18 years ago and which Beijing has suggested as a model for Taiwan.
“Throwing paint is a favorite tactic – it sends a vivid message but isn’t hurting anyone,” said Chang Chao-lin, head of the youth delegation of the Taiwan Solidarity Union (TSU), the most staunchly pro-independence political party on the island.
Grievances range from the opening of Chinese flight paths over Taiwan airspace, to Taiwan’s attempted entrance into the Beijing-backed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and to planned changes to the national curriculum. These include labeling China “the mainland” and relegating significant events in recent Taiwan history to sideshows, some students say.
In the latest outburst, Yu Teng-jay threw balloons of red paint against the wall of Taiwan’s Ministry of Education last week.
“These curriculum changes are slanted toward a Chinese view of the world,” said Yu, 18.
Beijing has proclaimed youth outreach a critical plank of reconciliation, but China’s reputation among young Taiwanese appears to be in inexorable decline.
A main plank of Ma’s administration, a pact which would have opened much of Taiwan’s service sector to mainland investment, sparked a three-week occupation of parliament by young people last year.
The protest, dubbed the Sunflower Movement, ignited a wave of demonstrations against the Nationalists and their amity towards China.
Chang of the TSU said youth was a new focus for the party, which uses social media to organize rallies, including one against a visiting Chinese official which led to scuffles and left one man with a dislocated arm.
This upheaval is spilling over to voting behavior, pollsters say.
In local elections last year, support for pro-independence parties among 20- to 29-year-olds saw a 10 percent rise over the previous election cycle, far outstripping a comparable boost among their elders, according to Academia Sinica, a government-sponsored think tank.
The data also showed the proportion of young people calling themselves “Taiwanese” versus “Chinese” was the highest among all age brackets.
Similarly, in a hypothetical face-off between Tsai and her presumptive opponent, Nationalist and unification advocate Hung Hsiu-chu, in next year’s elections, 20- and 30-somethings support Tsai by a greater than 20 percent margin, a poll by local broadcaster TVBS showed.
Nationalist forces fled to Taiwan in 1949 at the end of the Chinese civil war with the Communists that has never formally ended, and the status of Taiwan has hung over several generations of Communist leaders without a lasting resolution.
“China clearly wants to take Taiwan, so why should we be more open toward them?” high school student Fang Xin-jie, 17, told Reuters. “It will only make us more dependent.”
(Editing by Nick Macfie)