China’s Influence Rises while US’s Declines in Latin America


Washington Post shows its unhappiness at the rise of China’s influence in Latin America in its article “Trump soured relations in Latin America. China and Russia have welcomed the chaos” on April 20.

However, it is common sense that a country’s influence grows as it rises and reduces as it declines.

The US is declining as it is in chaos at home. It cannot prevent the entry of large number of immigrants and drugs or reduce crimes. even the crimes of indiscriminate massacre of innocent people, due to its poor governance. Frustrated, it wants Latin America to resolve its problems by pressuring them.

China, however, has a party that governs the country wonderfully. It has almost eliminated poverty throughout the nation. Its tight security measures have not only greatly reduced crimes but also prevented the terrorist attacks by the Muslim extremists trained and sent back by ISIS.

Throughout the world, China is conducting win-win cooperation with other nations including those in Latin America. The US has been trying hard to spread the lies about debt traps, spying, etc. but the lies cannot deceive Latin American nations as they have really been benefited by trade with and investment from China.

The article blames US President Trump for China’s successes and US failures in Latin America, but can any US administration put an end to immigration from poor American countries without building a wall or reduce drugs and crimes? US liberal democracy controlled by vested interests is the root cause for US decline. Only a thorough reform can stop the decline. Trump tries to recover US greatness but encounters lots of opposition. Trump’s “America first” hurts US relations with other countries but the US cannot afford provision of military protection or financial aids to keep good relations with them.

Can the writer of the article invent any alternatives to Trump’s approaches to put an end to US decline and improve US diplomacy?

China’s expansion of trade and investment in Latin America are win-win cooperation that benefits both China and Latin America. It certainly will enhance China’s influence there but that is not the goal of such cooperation. It will not be so stupid as to lose money in the trade and investment for geopolitical influence in remote Latin America. Russia will perhaps do so as a measure to counter US containment of it, but it is not rich enough to do so.

The article blames Trump for US failure but reflects US helplessness to revert its decline.

Comment by Chan Kai Yee on Washington Post’s article, full text of whci can be viewed at https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/world/2019/04/20/trump-soured-relations-latin-america-china-russia-have-welcomed-chaos/.


US Worries Chinese Navy Will Grow Stronger Than US Navy


Bloomberg carries the above chart in its article “How China’s Growing Naval Fleet Is Shaping Global Politics” on June 1 to predict that Chinese navy will be comparable in strength with the US by 2030.

The chart assumes that China will follow US footsteps in developing its navy. That will certainly not be the case.

Due to the development of science and technology, new and better weapons will emerge. For example, aircraft carriers will soon be obsolete if China can build only two aerospace bombers each of which can destroy an entire aircraft carrier battle group in minutes (see my book “Space Era Strategy: The Way China Beets The U.S.”)
The two bombers will cost much less than an aircraft carrier.

China is making true efforts to develop such high-tech bomber. I have had a post about Chinese President telling Chinese air force to develop integrated space and air capabilities for both attack and defense and another about China’s progress in developing aerospace aircrafts using jet, scramjet and rocket. China’s combined jet and scramjet engine has reached Mach 4.5. If it reaches Mach 7, the rocket of the aircraft will send the aircraft into space orbit.

I have had a post about the test flight of a very fast Chinese aircraft believed to be China’s Mach 4.5 aircraft.

As for navy, China has built world largest nuclear submarine plant that can build more than 4 nuclear submarines at the same time. I have read a report in Chinese about China’s technology to build world best nuclear submarine. When such submarines are in service US aircraft carriers are but poor large targets for the submarines’ missiles and torpedoes.

I have another piece of news about China’s development of submersible arsenal ships regarded as warships of naval theorists’ dreams as they are stealth and extremely fast with formidable fire power to attack ground and surface targets.

I will give more details of the new weapons in my later posts.

Bloomberg’s article quote Patrick Cronin, director of the Center for a New American Security’s Asia-Pacific security program, as saying,“By 2030, the existence of a global Chinese navy will be an important, influential and fundamental fact of international politics”. Mr. Patrick believes that the U.S. and its allies “need to begin preparing for a ‘risen China,’ rather than a rising China.”

How to prepare?

The U.S. simply is strategy illiterate to know how to spend its huge military budget. It has been wasting its financial resourced in developing the most advanced aircraft carrier that will soon be obsolete when most advanced aerospace bombers and submarines have emerged.

The article is also stupid in publishing the above map of the military bases in the world that China will build for its navy. In fact, instead of dealing with the tricky diplomatic problems in building such bases, China can well build large floating islands in the oceans not only as naval bases but also as fishing and mining bases and tourist resorts.

It is time to exploit sea bottom resources in our space era now but the US still stick to its World War II strategy.

Comment by Chan Kai Yee on Bloomberg’s article, full text of which can be viewed at https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-05-31/china-s-growing-naval-might-challenges-u-s-supremacy-in-asia