‘Dreaming of the Heavens’: China launches final module to space station


By Ryan Woo and Liangping Gao

October 31, 2022 4:41 PM GMT+8 Last Updated an hour ago

BEIJING, Oct 31 (Reuters) – China on Monday launched the last of the three modules that will comprise its space station, set to be the second permanently inhabited outpost in low-earth orbit after the NASA-led International Space Station.

The uncrewed Mengtian, or “Dreaming of the Heavens”, module was launched atop China’s most powerful rocket, the Long March 5B, at 3:37 p.m. (0737 GMT) from the Wenchang Space Launch Centre in the southern island province of Hainan.

In April 2021, China began construction of its space station with the launch of the Tianhe module, the main living quarters for astronauts. In July this year it launched Wentian, or “Quest for the Heavens”, a laboratory module where scientific experiments will be performed.

The 23-tonne Mengtian, also a laboratory module, is expected to dock with an axial port at one end of Tianhe later on Monday.

But the space station will only take on its final T-shape – with Tianhe as the core flanked by the two lab modules – when Mengtian is repositioned, while in orbit, to one of Tianhe’s radial ports on its side.

The completion of the Chinese space station, designed for a lifespan of at least 10 years, will be a milestone in China’s ambitions in low-earth orbit, with NASA’s aging ISS potentially ceasing operation by the end of the decade.

GROWING CLOUT

The Chinese-built “Celestial Palace”, as the space station is known at home, will also be an emblem of China’s growing clout and self-sufficiency in its space endeavours and a challenger to the United States in the domain, after being isolated from the ISS and other collaboration with NASA.

The space station also caps President Xi Jinping’s 10 years as leader of China’s ruling Communist Party.

During the station’s lifetime, China is planning more than 1,000 scientific experiments – from studying how plants adapt in space to how fluids behave in microgravity.

International demand for experiments to be conducted on the Chinese station will also rise if the ISS retires in the coming years. More than 3,000 science experiments have been performed aboard the ISS since November 2000.

China has approved at least nine proposals from scientists in countries ranging from Switzerland to India in the first batch of experiments in cooperation with the United Nations space office.

Russia’s space agency in August unveiled a physical model of a planned Russian-built space station, the final form of which would be years away.

Two more missions this year are needed before China’s station is ready for operation.

An automated cargo resupply vessel – the Tianzhou-5 – is expected to be launched in November, ahead of the arrival of three astronauts in December on the Shenzhou-15 spacecraft for long-term habitation on the space station.

China’s space programme has come far since late leader Mao Zedong lamented that the country could not even launch a potato into orbit.

China became the third country to put a man in space with its own rocket, in October 2003, following the former Soviet Union and the United States.

Reporting by Ryan Woo; Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Edmund Klamann and Nick Macfie

Note: This is Reuters’ report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


Prepare for Russia’s Massive Winter Offensives


Russia’s partial mobilization aims at concentrate superior force for winter offensives that will determine the results of its Ukraine war, I have warned that but Ukraine doesn’t seem prepared.

According to The Guardian’s report “Russia says 82,000 conscripts from emergency draft already in Ukraine” on October 28, Russia has already sent 82,000 troopers from the mobilization to the front to fortify its defense while the remaining of the 300,000 mobilized are receiving training. It is rainy now in Ukraine not suitable for offensive but when the land is frozen in winter, it will be much easier for Russia to conduct major offensives with its additional troops.

Guardian’s report seems to look down on Russia’s strength, I do not think so as I have not seen Russia using its most advanced weapons yet so far. Russia is well-known for amassing its best weapons and troops for counteroffensives. Let’s wait and see.

Comment by Chan Kai Yee on The Guardian’s report, full text of which can be viewed at https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/oct/28/russia-says-82000-conscripts-from-emergency-draft-already-in-ukraine


War between China, US Unavoidable


CNN’s Meanwhile in America article “The dangerous future of US-China relations” seems to see that but its views are based on false grounds.

Why? Like all Western China watchers, the article lacks an understanding of China.

First, it is self-contradictory.

It says, “China and the United States are now open (this commentator’s underline) adversaries in the Pacific”. However, only US President Joe Biden openly regards China as US major trouble in his national security strategy, but his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping has said nothing on US being China’s adversary at all.

The article only says, “Xi did not mention the United States directly in his report to the congress”. Not “directly”! That clearly means that Xi does not openly regard the US as China’s adversary. The US is so sensitive about Xi’s denounce on “interference” over Taiwan and “hegemonism and power politics in all their forms” and Xi’s claim that China was facing “external attempts to blackmail, contain, blockade and exert maximum pressure” as regarding China as its major adversary the US has indeed conducted such interference, hegemonism and power politics and exerted the said pressure on China.

It takes two to tango. Since China does not openly regard the US as its advisory, a war between China and the US does not normally seem likely.

Taiwan is China’s core interest so that China’s reunification with Taiwan is unavoidable. If China takes Taiwan by force and the US as Biden has promised interferes militarily, a war between China and the US is unavoidable.

China is now strong enough to take Taiwan by force even if the US interferes, but China has a tradition of concentrating superior force to defeat its enemy. It does not do so as it has not developed a superior force. However, China has been growing stronger day by day not only economically but also militarily. Western China watchers’ doomsday prediction about China has always been proved false.

The article says “If he (Xi) fails, America’s headache could be even worse.” Xi has successfully conducted the transition from export- and investment-geared growth to innovation-, creation- and consumption-led growth started by his predecessor Hu Jintao. In addition, he has made great efforts to improve China’s education and environment, paid great attention to self-reliance on technology and food, supplement rural invigoration to urbanization to avoid the problems caused by over urbanization. Such wise economic policies ensure China’s healthy economic development. Externally, his Belt and Route initiative enables China to benefit from its investment aboard as China pursues win-win cooperation instead of geopolitical influence without economic benefits.

Militarily, China has been building a strong navy and conducting training for further modernization. Russia’s war in Ukraine has been forcing the West to provide increasingly more advanced weapons to Ukraine. Through the war, China may gain information about West’s most advanced weapons and technology so as to improve Chinese military. Ukraine is now a financial and military burden to the US and its allies but a source of intelligence for China to enable it to grow stronger than the US.

Comment by Chan Kai Yee on CNN’s Meanwhile in America article, full text of which can be viewed at meanwhile@newsletters.cnn.com.


62% of Americans see the China-Russia partnership as a very serious problem for the US, new poll shows


John Haltiwanger Apr 28, 2022, 11:18 PM

Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet in Beijing, China on February 4, 2022. Getty Images (Image omitted)

  • A majority of Americans see the China-Russia partnership as a very serious problem, per a new Pew poll.
  • China has tacitly supported Russia’s Ukraine war, refusing to explicitly condemn Moscow for the unprovoked invasion.
  • Just 15% of Americans said they had confidence in Xi Jinping to do the right thing in world affairs.

A majority of Americans (62%) view the partnership between Russia and China as a “very serious problem” for the US, according to a new Pew Research Center survey, which comes as Beijing continues to avoid explicitly condemning Moscow’s unprovoked war in Ukraine.

And roughly nine-in-ten say the partnership is at least a somewhat serious for the US.

Meanwhile, the survey found unfavorable views of China reached a new high. The survey showed 82% of Americans have unfavorable opinions of China, including 40% who expressed “very unfavorable” views as 42% said they had “somewhat unfavorable” opinions.

The US-China relationship has been strained by historic tensions in recent years, linked to issues ranging from the COVID-19 pandemic and trade to human rights abuses and the Ukraine war.

China often sides with the Kremlin on geopolitical issues, and was among just two dozen countries to vote against booting Russia from the UN Human Rights Council earlier this month. Chinese state media has also echoed Russian propaganda and disinformation on the war, including baseless claims that apparent atrocities committed by Russian forces in Ukraine were fabricated. Indeed, Beijing has tacitly endorsed Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine, even as Moscow faces widespread allegations of war crimes.

President Joe Biden has made challenging China on the world stage a central aspect of his foreign policy, and has warned Xi against providing Russia with material support amid the Ukraine war. In his State of the Union address last month, Biden said the US was in an economic competition with the wider world but “particularly China.”

Biden’s concerns about China’s influence is seemingly shared by many in the US. Roughly two-thirds of US adults said China’s influence in the world has been getting stronger, the new Pew poll showed. The survey also found that two-thirds of Americans view China’s power and influence as a major threat, and just 15% of Americans said they had confidence in Chinese leader Xi Jinping to do the right thing in world affairs.

Source: Business Insider “62% of Americans see the China-Russia partnership as a very serious problem for the US, new poll shows”

Note: This is Business Insider’s report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


Xi’s Focus on Tech Points to ‘Rejig of China’s Chip Strategy’


October 18, 2022

Analysts said Xi’s eagerness to “win the battle” in core technologies could mean that China will not only bolster spending but overhaul its whole approach to boost key tech and chip sectors

Xi’s focus on China bolstering self-reliance on technology suggests Beijing will ramp up spending and take possibly take a whole new approach in the chip sector.

Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks at the opening of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, October 16, 2022. Photo: Thomas Peter, Reuters. (image omitted)

President Xi Jinping’s call for China to achieve self-reliance in technology – which featured prominently in his work report at the launch of the Communist Party’s Congress – suggests Beijing will not only ramp up spending but could take a whole new approach, especially in regard to computer chips.

Analysts said Xi’s eagerness to “win the battle” in core technologies could mean that China will overhaul its approach to boost its tech sector, with more state spending and intervention to counter US export restrictions and tech bans.

China has prioritised high technology at the top of its economic policies, they said.

Achieving self-reliance in technology was mentioned four times by Xi in his full work report at the start of the five-yearly Congress, versus none in 2017. And the term “technology” was referred to 40 times, up from 17 times in the report from the 2017 congress.

While the report did not mention any other countries or specific sectors for that goal, it comes days after Washington imposed sweeping new regulations aimed at undermining China’s efforts to develop its own chip industry.

HSBC analysts said their takeaway was that increased spending in China, particular in STEM (science, technology, engineering and maths) fields, and policy support was likely.

Iris Pang, chief economist for Greater China at ING, said Xi’s remarks addressed “the urgent need for talent and promoting self-sufficiency in technological advancement”.

“We believe that this echoes to the US’s CHIPS Act,” Pang said, referring to the US regulations. “As such research spending on semiconductor technology should increase. Typically, policies are released after such important events in China.”

But the most interesting comments came from Tianfeng Securities analysts Song Xuetao and Zhang Wei, who noted on Monday that Xi in his speech called for China to “build a completely new national-led system”, for technology – a step away from what he said in 2017, which was urging citizens to build a system for technology innovation that was “enterprise-based” and “market-based”.

For the chip sector in particular, “there may be a major model change in the future, from market-driven to national capital driven,” they said in a research report.

China’s ‘Breakthroughs’, Failures

In his speech, Xi listed a slew of industries where he described China as having achieved breakthroughs over the past decade, including large aircraft, space flight, satellite navigation – all of which rely on copious state support.

No mention was made of semiconductors, although this is an area where China has funnelled billions of dollars in funds but has also given more leeway in using market-led approaches versus other sectors.

Some, obviously believe that is set to change.

Venture capital (VC) has been allowed to invest in Chinese chip companies, with such firms receiving over $30 billion in VC cash between 2020-2021, according to Chinese investment research firm CVInfo.

State-backed chip companies are also free to buy and sell goods and supplies according to market demand, in competition with foreign products.

But while the support has propelled the rise of potential giants like Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp and Yangtze Memory Technologies Co, no domestic Chinese chip company has gained global dominance at the most advanced level, and the sector remains heavily reliant on foreign technology.

The sector has also seen reports of graft and some very expensive failures.

In 2017, the local government in Wuhan and investors in Beijing placed tens of billions of yuan in Wuhan Hongxin Semiconductor Manufacturing, a chip fab that promised to produce 30,000 wafers per month, only to see it shutter in 2021 due to financial issues.

In the run up to the congress, a number of people affiliated with China’s national chip fund, which has raised 342.7 billion yuan ($47.6 billion) so far, were placed under investigation for corruption, raising speculation over the entity’s future.

On Monday, shares in Chinese information technology companies rose more than 1%, while semiconductor stocks rose 0.7%, a subdued reaction which suggests concern that US chip sector restrictions could stymie the sector’s progress in the short term, and perhaps, uncertainty on whether a new approach by Beijing will achieve the result that President Xi dearly desires.

Reuters with additional editing by Jim Pollard

Source: Asia Financial “Xi’s Focus on Tech Points to ‘Rejig of China’s Chip Strategy’”

Note: This is Asia Financial’s report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


Nuclear Deal or Not, Iran Remains US Headache in Middle East


While Iran and the US are making efforts to reach a nuclear deal, experts believe the deal would not change Gulf security situation.

Therefore, Breaking Defense asks the question in its article “How an Iran nuclear deal would (and wouldn’t) change Gulf security stances:” “How will Iran’s Gulf rivals react to such a deal, and how would the security arrangement in the region change?”

According to experts who spoke to Breaking Defense, Iran is expected to remain a destabilizing force, nuclear pause or no, i.e. it will remain US headache. But the US has to remove its focus from the Middle East to Indo-Pacific.

It is said that the United States has been trying to promote greater regional defense integration in the Middle East for more than 20 years but is still very far from any sort of naval defense alliance.

However, Iran has been making great efforts to build up its navy, which will be beneficial for China. From this we see Iran’s important role in the Middle East for Russia and China. That is why I call their relationship as a Russia-China-Iran triangle.

The article quotes Commander Timothy Hawkins, spokesman for US Naval Forces Central Command, U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces as saying “We will continue to sail, fly and operate anywhere international law allows, including the Red Sea.” But how many carrier strike groups the US has to operate anywhere international law allows?

If the US has to station a carrier group in the Red Sea to deal with Iran and another near Russia for Ukraine, how many groups the US will have to deal with Taiwan Strait crisis. From that we see the importance of Iran to China’s Asian group. Does the US have any allies to disperse Asian group’s navy?

Comment by Chan Kai Yee on Breaking Defense’ article, full text of which can be viewed at https://breakingdefense.com/2022/10/how-an-iran-nuclear-deal-would-and-wouldnt-change-gulf-security-stances/?


Both Biden, Trump Ignorant of China, Russia’s One-in-three Strategy


While Trump regarded Russia and China as one, Biden regards them separately in his recently released national security strategy (NSS) as reported by Foreign Policy’s article “Situation Report: Making sense of Biden’s new security strategy” on October 13. Biden needs his European allies to help the US compete with China but finds it difficult as they have different interests. Biden wants to subdue both Russia and China, but Europe has much interests in its trade with Russia and China. It needs Russian supply of energy and so far cannot find alternative energy sources. It makes lots of money in both Russian and Chinese markets so that it is unable to conduct trade and tech wars along with the US with either Russia or China, especially China whose market is too vast for Europe to ignore.

China and Russia are closely connected in dealing with the US and its allies. Ukraine war is a very clear example. If there are no tensions across the Taiwan strait that deters US direct military intervention in Ukraine, Russia simply does not dare to start Ukraine war.

Therefore, Biden’s NSS statement “[China] and Russia are increasingly aligned with each other but the challenges they pose are, in important ways, distinct” shows US leaders’ ignorance of the real situation. China’s maintenance of its normal trade and other relations has enabled Russia to survive US and West sanctions while Russia’s Ukraine war provide China and its Asian friends peaceful environment to develop their economies, technology and military strength. Russia’s ground links with Europe, provision of Arctic shipping route for China are indispensable for China. In addition, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor will provide China with safe shipping route to Europe, Africa and the Middle East with protection of Pakistani and Iranian Navies. In this respect, Iran may play a very important role in China- and Russia-led Asian group. That is what I described as Russia-China-Iran triangle.

It seems to me that Russia plans to concentrate superior force from its partial mobilization for its massive winter attacks. If such a plan succeeds, China may mediate a peace acceptable to Europe. Then China- and Russia-led Asian group will be one of the three major forces in the world: Asian group, Europe and the US. That will be much better than a cold war between Asian group on one side and US and Europe on the other.

There have been reports that Russia has so far been using weapons from World War II and Russian troops’ living conditions are very poor. Since Russia has been able to take lots of Ukrainian land and resist Ukraine’s massive counterattack, and since its troops can fight with poor living conditions, what will the result when Russia uses its most advanced weapons and well-trained reserves? I don’t think it is hard to imagine the consequence.

Comment by Chan Kai Yee on Foreign Policy’s Situation Report, full text of which can be viewed at oreply@crm.foreignpolicy.com


Melting Arctic Worries US about Homeland Security, Let Alone China’s Arctic Route


Melting Arctic provides China with a shortcut for its trade with Europe. As the US wants urgently to block China’s rise, it certainly wants to block that route, but it cannot as the route goes along Russian coast where Russia military may protect Chinese shipping along the route.

However, that is not US major worries. Breaking Defense’ article “Eyeing Russia and China, NORTHCOM head frets over US ability to respond to Arctic threats” on October 12, says though the White House released strategy for the far north, at the Homeland Security Seminar at AUSA 2022 Annual Meeting in Washington, D.C., Tuesday, Oct. 11, 2022, Air Force Gen. Glen VanHerck, commander of Northern Command said the US isn’t “organized, trained and equipped” to operate there quickly.

The article quotes Gen. VanHerck as saying, “More than 50% of my AOR [area of operations] is in the Arctic. Yet we’re not organized, trained and equipped to be able to operate in that Arctic environment in a timely manner,”

The article says that Gen. VanHerck is concerned that when the Arctic has melted both Russia and China will be significantly interested in the Arctic as It’s the closest route to US homeland over the pole and from the Arctic,”

The article says that Russia has modernized its infrastructures in the Arctic while China builds their type 95 and type 96 submarines, that it’s going to field ballistic missile capabilities and park them in the Arctic just off the Alaskan coast, which significantly reduces US decision space and timeline.

Global warming seems to benefit Russia and China and hurt the US.

Comment by Chan Kai Yee on Breaking Defense’ article, full text of which can be viewed at https://breakingdefense.com/2022/10/eyeing-russia-and-china-northcom-head-frets-over-us-ability-to-respond-to-arctic-threats/


Communist Party must prepare for great struggles, major risks, says China’s Xi Jinping ahead of key Congress


Xi’s statement comes days before CPC is set to hold the Congress on 16 October, where it would discuss the new political and economic policy frameworks for the future and also endorse Xi for a new five-year term in power or perhaps for life

Press Trust of India

October 02, 2022 16:29:07 IST

Communist Party must prepare for great struggles, major risks, says China’s Xi Jinping ahead of key Congress

Chinese president Xi Jinping. News18 (image omitted)

Beijing: Chinese President Xi Jinping has said that the Communist Party must be united to prepare for great struggles and face major risks, ahead of this month’s key Congress of the ruling party where he is expected to get endorsed for a record third five-year term unlike his predecessors.

In an article published in the party’s journal Qiushi on Saturday, China’s National Day, 69-year-old Xi said the country has never been closer to achieving its great national rejuvenation, but the last mile would be full of perils and challenges.

Our party must be united to lead the people to face major challenges effectively, defend against major risks, overcome major barriers and resolve major contradictions. We must press on with great struggles under new historical characteristics, Xi wrote, the Hong Kong-based South China Morning Post reported on Sunday.

He, however, did not elaborate.

His comments exhorting the 96-million-member strong Communist Party of China (CPC) came as it is set to hold the once-in-a-five-year Congress on 16 October here which would discuss the new political and economic policy frameworks for the future and also endorse Xi for a new five-year term in power or perhaps for life.

If endorsed, Xi will become the only leader after the party’s founder Mao Zedong to continue in power beyond the stipulated 10-year term. Xi will be completing the 10-year term this year.

His call for the party’s unity came as China under his leadership faced increasing isolation with growing adversity with the US, EU and Japan over Taiwan besides growing domestic pressures owing to economic slowdown exasperated by his zero COVID policy forcing lockdowns of various cities over recurring spikes of the virus.

Xi said that the party members must demonstrate tenacity and persistence to complete the journey.

This required the party to stay focused and have conviction in the path it had taken, he added.

We will not walk back to the old path of isolation and dogmatism, nor shall we ever take the evil path of changing flags, he said, using a metaphor common in revolutionary language to mean changing the political system.

Ahead of the Congress, a number of high-level security officials who were reportedly part of a political clique against Xi were either indicted or sentenced to death on charges of corruption and misuse of power.

Since he came to power in 2012, Xi has carried out an anti-corruption campaign in which over a million officials, including dozens of top military officers, were punished.

Critics of Xi say the anti-graft campaign which is still continuing has enabled him to consolidate his hold on the party and the military.

The CPC holds a Congress every five years. But this year’s Congress is regarded as significant, as it is a leadership change year for the century-old party.

On Friday, Premier Li Keqiang, in a speech to the annual National Day gala, urged local governments not to stand by idly but take immediate action to stabilise the economy.

Stating that time waits for no man Li, currently, the number two leader after Xi, urged officials to focus all their efforts to improve the economy.

Our economy right now is facing many challenges and difficulties. Time waits for no man. We must focus all efforts on implementing measures to stabilise the economy. We still have the confidence and ability to keep our economic growth within the accepted range, Li, who will step down after the Congress, said.

Updated Date:

October 02, 2022 16:29:07 IST

Source: Firstpost.com “Communist Party must prepare for great struggles, major risks, says China’s Xi Jinping ahead of key Congress”

Note: This is firstpost.com’s report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


Solomon Island police officers head to China for training


Reuters

October 12, 2022 2:46 PM GMT+8 Last Updated 4 hours ago

National flags of Solomon Islands and China flutter at the Tiananmen Square in Beijing, China October 7, 2019. REUTERS/Stringer (image omitted)

SYDNEY, Oct 12 (Reuters) – A group of 32 police officers from the South Pacific nation of Solomon Islands has flown to China to train in policing techniques and improve their understanding of Chinese culture, the Royal Solomon Islands Police Force said in a statement.

China has provided public order management training to police in the Solomon Islands since the two countries signed a security pact in April, an agreement that alarmed the United States and its allies including Australia, which traditionally provided policing support. read more

The 32 officers would visit different police stations in China during their month-long visit, the force said in the statement.

At a White House summit with Pacific island leaders last month, the United States, seeking to counter China’s rising influence in the strategically important region, said it would send FBI law enforcement trainers to the Solomon Islands this year.

Solomon Islands Prime Minister Manasseh Sogavare has previously told Australia it remained the nation’s security partner of choice and denied the pact with China would allow it to set up a military base.

Australian police quelled anti-government riots in Honiara, the Solomon Islands capital, in November. China says its security pact will allow Chinese police to protect Chinese projects and personnel.

Chinese construction and telecommunications companies have struck multi-million dollars deals for Solomon Islands infrastructure projects.

Reporting by Kirsty Needham; Editing by Robert Birsel

Note: This is Reuters’ report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.