Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy 21


Long-term Efforts for National Prosperity v. Short-term Efforts to Win Votes

The US wants to compete and win the competition with China, but China does not want to compete but instead wants win-win cooperation with the US.

Why such great difference?

Because of their entirely different political system.

In the US, though there are only two powerful political parties, neither is sure to win the election to control the Congress and have its member elected as state leader. In order to win votes, they have to please their voters. Now almost all US voters want to contain China’s rise; therefore, both parties advocate and want to win competition with China.

However, neither of them has set up long-term development plan. Even if they have set such plans, they cannot be sure they will be able to control Congress and have their members continuously elected as presidents to carry out the plan.

China’s Socialist modernization

In 2017, China laid out the goal of having “socialist modernization basically realized” by 2035. Some Western media regards that as a major shift in China’s ambition to catch up with the U.S. economically. They said that conventional forecasts predicted China would match the U.S. around the mid-21st century, but Chinese leaders pushed that target forward by 15 years.

That is really stupid, what does conventional forecasts to do with Chinese leaders’ ambition? Chinese leaders set their own targets based on China’s own ability. What the US economy will be by 2035 will not be their concern as they are not able to decide the extent of US economic development. Therefore, whether China has attained the goal of having basically realized modernization has nothing to do with the issue of whether Chinese economy would match US’s. China’s 2035 plan raising fears of greater confrontation with US is certainly a false prediction. No matter whether China has it 2035 plan and no matter whether the plan means matching US’s economically by 2035, the US would definitely compete with China fiercely now and afterwords in order to contain China’s rise.

However, judging by US and China’s current GDP growth rates, China surpass of US economically will only be a matter of time. But China is not so mean and stupid as to hinder US economic development. On the contrary, it wants win-win cooperation with the US. Win-win means both China and the US will be benefited by the cooperation. Though the US wants to hinder China’s development, China does not want to do the same as it clearly knows that like the US, it is certainly unable to hinder the other’s development without hurting itself.

China has set up a plan of building China into a great modern socialist country that is prosperous, strong, democratic, culturally advanced, harmonious, and beautiful by the middle of the century. It is now making great efforts to carry out such a plan. Judging by its success in the past four and a half decades, it is very possible for China to succeed in carrying out that plan. What the US can do? A presidential liboral democracy has never been able to set up and carry out any long-term plan. Contain China’s rise? It’s beyond US ability.

Chapter 21 of Chan Kai Yee’s new book “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy”


Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy 20


Purchase of Votes v. Seek People’ Happiness, Satisfaction, Sense of Achievement

Biden’s Forgiveness of Student Loans Reminds me of Feng Huan’s Purchase of Popularity for Prince Mengchangjun.

“Feng Huan as Prince Mengchangjun’s House Guest” is a well-known story in China’s famous history book “Warring States Policies”.

The story says that Feng was unable to make a living and asked Prince Mengchangjun, the brother of the King and Prime Minister of the State of Qi to take him as a house guest. When he lived as the Prince’s guest, he asked fish for food, a carriage for travel and his old mother to be taken care of. The prince satisfied all his three demands though Feng tell him that Feng had no skill or expertise.

However, when the Prince wanted an accountant to collect debts for him from his only possession, the city of Xue, Feng accepted the job and asked what to buy with the money collected. The prince told him to buy what he is short of. Feng saw that the prince has abundance of everything but only lacks popularity as he fails to take care of the people of his only territory, but instead profit from them by lending them money. Feng gave Xue people all the money the prince had lent them and burned all the documents of lending and soon returned to the prince. At the prince’s question what he bought with the money collected, he told the prince he has bought popularity for the prince.

The prince was upset but he was dismissed by the king soon afterwards and had to return to his only city. Unexpectedly, all Xue people came out to welcome him. The prince told Feng that by that time he understood what Feng had purchased for him. Feng told the prince that a sly rabbit needed three holes for survival, but the prince only had one at that time. He told the prince that he would make the other two for the prince.

Now, it seems that US President Joe Biden is precisely buying popularity like what Feng did. The prince needed popularity to attract the kings of other states to employ him as prime minister. That was the use of popularity in backward feudal autocracies. Biden is certainly more advanced to win votes with the purchase of his popularity in a liberal democracy. In Feng’s case, the prince has to incur expense in the purchase, but Biden need not spend a penny, the state will provide funds for his purchase of popularity. US taxpayers have finally to pay the bill of the purchase for a president who has no obligations to serve the people but usurps state’s funds to buy popularity for himself.

China Seeks People’s Happiness, Satisfaction, Sense of Achievements

In his report to CCP 20th National Congress, Xi stressed CCP’s goals to make people happier with greater satisfaction and sense of achievements. It pursues better employment of college graduates so that they would not be heavily debt ridden. That is certainly better than lending first and then forgive the loans lent to force taxpayer to suffer the uncovered loans.

What China stresses is development. With successful development, there will be full employment for college graduates. As a result, they will be able to repay the loans they have borrowed for their college education.

Chapter 20 of Chan Kai Yee’s new book “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy”


Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy 19


People Born Evil v. People Born Good

People Are Born Evil, A Basic View in Western Liberal Democracy

In theory, Western people mostly believe the Bible’s Creation narrative

As Adam and Eve the Bible’s first man and first woman disobeyed God’s order and committed the sin of eating the forbidden fruit on the tree of knowledge of good and evil. God curses all three including the serpent who seduced Eve to eat the fruits. God punished the man to a lifetime of hard labor followed by death, the woman to the pain of childbirth and to subordination to her husband, and the serpent to go on his belly and suffer the enmity of both man and woman. God then banishes them from the garden of Eden lest they eat the fruit of a second tree, the tree of life, and live forever.

Based on the Christian doctrine of the Fall of man, came the doctrine of original sin that regards Adam’s sin was hereditary: “Death passed upon all men because they all inherited Adam’s sin. Original sin became a concept that man is born into a condition of sinfulness and must await redemption. This doctrine became a cornerstone of the Western Christian theological tradition,

The above may be the theological basis for the view in Western liberal democracies that people are born evil.

In China, Mencius’ People Are Born Good Prevails

In China, after Confucius’ death, there were two major Confucianist sections: Mencius’ that held people were born good and Xun Tze’s that held people were born evil. As the book “Mencius” was selected as one of the four textbooks for China’s official examination for more than a thousand years. Mencius’ view has prevailed.

Consequences of the Views

The theories of such views may have been forgotten but it seems that the influence remains forever.

In the West, grave views and doctrines have been derived from the view that people are born evil. First, the popular view that power corrupts. The greater the power, the worse the corruption; therefore, people are allowed limited tenure as state leader for fear that state leader’s great power will corrupt the leader. There must be division of three powers to prevent each power from growing excessive. As a result, there has been no heroic state leader for decades. People are waiting for Jesus Christ to come to be king of kings, lord of lords to establish his reign forever.

Having no such religion, Chinese people want the emergence of a heroic state leader. Such leaders are rare but do emerge sometimes to make China the greatest nation in the world. Luckily, we have Xi Jinping as such a leader now. His pursuit of creation-, innovation- and consumption-led economic growth, rural invigoration, environment-friendly development, opening of outlets to sea in the West through China-Pakistan and China-Myanmar Economic Corridors, alliance with Russia, three-in-one strategy, etc. prove his talents in leading China to a wonderful better future.

Chapter 19 of Chan Kai Yee’s new book “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy”


China appears to be readying 2 advanced warships for launch, adding muscle to aircraft carrier group


Photos circulating on social media show Type 054B frigates at shipyards in Shanghai and Guangzhou

Naval expert says vessels resemble smaller version of the Type 055, the world’s No 2 most powerful destroyer

Minnie Chan

Published: 12:00pm, 16 Jul, 2023

Image 054B

China is expected to launch its Type 054B frigate, shown here on the left next to its predecessor, by the end of the year. Photo: Weibo

China is expected to launch two multi-role frigates, adding muscle to its new generation of aircraft carrier strike groups, according to photos circulated by military enthusiasts online.

Several photos shared by a mainland-based Weibo user who tracks news about the Chinese navy showed the hull of a Type 054B frigate – a bigger and faster version of the Type 054A now in service – as it was prepared to be rolled out from the dry dock of a shipyard. Over half of the hull was visible, suggesting the ship would soon be launched into a nearby pool.

Banners hanging on the sides of the dry dock indicated the photos were taken at the Huangpu-Wenchong Shipyard, a subsidiary of China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC) in Guangzhou, and one of the Chinese navy’s key contractors.

China makes progress on advanced frigate, according to satellite images

27 Jan 2023

“The shape of the bulkhead board and the island control tower suggest that the vessel is a mini version of the Type 055 destroyer,” said Lu Li-shih, a former instructor at Taiwan’s Naval Academy in Kaohsiung, referring to the Renhai-class stealth-guided missile destroyer with a displacement of more than 12,000 tonnes.

“It’s an entirely new frigate – not just faster and bigger than the Type 054A, but it has also adopted some new advanced technologies from the Type 055 cruiser.”

The Type 055 is the world’s second-most powerful destroyer after the US Navy’s DDG-1000, or Zumwalt class. Armed with an integrated mast and powerful radar systems, it has been dubbed the “bodyguard” of Chinese aircraft carriers.

China plans to launch two Type 054B frigates by the end of this year. Aside from the one under construction in Guangzhou, another is being built at Hudong–Zhonghua Shipbuilding in Shanghai, another CSSC subsidiary.

With an estimated displacement of about 6,000 tonnes, the hull of the Type 054B is about 147 metres (482 feet) long and 18 metres wide, according to information posted by former US submariner Tom Shugart on his Twitter account. Shugart’s estimate, which is based on satellite images of the Shanghai shipyard, puts the new vessel at more than 10 metres longer than the Type 051A.

China’s biggest warship recreated in miniature Lego

Photos taken at the Shanghai shipyard last month showed that fitting out work had not yet started, indicating the pace of the vessel’s construction was not as fast as the one in Guangzhou.

to our T&C and Privacy Policy

In Guangzhou, a 4,000-tonne Type 054A frigate built for the Chinese coastguard sat next to the Type 054B at the dry dock.

“With bigger displacement than the Type 054A, the Type 054B will be equipped with more powerful weapons,” Lu said. “I expect it would be equipped with an advanced on-board rotating phased-array radar system and high-power microwave, or even ship-borne drones, as well as other new technologies used by the Type 055 cruiser.”

The construction of the Type 054B first came to light in April last year when the Guangzhou shipyard published a public tender for military hull-grade steel. The tender notice said work on a Type 054B ship with a displacement of more than 5,000 tonnes would start in May 2022, with its launch expected by the end of this year.

Taiwan to build lighter frigates to cut cost of shadowing PLA warships

2 Nov 2022

The Type 054B will be able to carry two Z-20 anti-submarine helicopters and it will partner with the Type 055 and Type 052D destroyers for anti-submarine operations, according to Zhou Chenming, a researcher at the Yuan Wang military science and technology think tank in Beijing.

“The original Type 054 and Type 054A are older and too slow to catch up with other accompanying warships in the new carrier strike group,” Zhou said.

“The two Type 054Bs are expected to be launched by the end of this year,” he said. “If the sea trials go smoothly, then the PLA Navy may order more.”

The PLA plans to build at least four aircraft carrier strike groups by 2030 and become the world’s second-biggest modern blue-water navy after the US. The Type 054B frigate, Type 052D destroyer and the powerful Type 055 cruiser are the key escort vessels for its aircraft carriers.

Source: SCMP “China appears to be readying 2 advanced warships for launch, adding muscle to aircraft carrier group”

Note: This is SCMP’s report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy 18


Decision by The Wise v. by Majority

I have mentioned that a state leader needs the professional knowledge, skill and experience more demanding than a complicated profession of law, accounting, etc. but in a presidential liberal democracy such as the USA the state leader, i.e. president is elected by laymen out of their interests without such knowledge, skill or experience.

The United States, a presidential liberal democracy, is declining but it seems only its last but one president Donald Trump and some of his supporters are aware of that so that they want America to be great again. Others do not seem to be aware of that though almost every American has fallen into Thucydides trap and wants to contain China in order to prevent China from surpassing the US and becoming world no. one. Americans are not unanimous on making their country strong again but only on containing China. As quite a few of them do not agree with Trump that there is need to make America great again, it is very likely Trump’s successor will not carry on his efforts.

That is the problem in election of president with universal suffrage in a liberal democracy like America’s. As the system cannot generate a satisfactory leader, there is always the need for changes in electing a new leader. As a result, a new president usually will have his new policies, which may not be better as such election cannot generate a better leader but at least, the elected successor can show he is different from his predecessor. That is common as in the past few decades no president was satisfactory to most American people.

As a result, there is no long-term good efforts for improvement. Only a president’s mistake can be long-term. That is why erroneous wars can draw on for a decade or longer until total defeat or there is no hope to win.

Chinese Tradition: Decision by the Wise instead of Majority

In the US, a good leader is rare but cannot be kept due to limited tenure.

In China, decision is almost by the wise instead of majority

In Chinese history decision, especially important one, is made by the wise instead of majority though the wise is even a very small minority. A small number of decisions might be made by majority and brought about poor results, but there was no process of voting in making such decisions in old China.

There have been lots of examples of good decisions being made by wise minority. Here I only give two typical examples of the decisions on the battles vital for the survival of those involved: Liu Xiu’s Battle of Kunyang at the end of West Han Dynasty (Liu Xiu later founded the East Han Dynasty) and Zhu Yuanzhang’s war of resistance against Chen Youliang, the most powerful warlord at that time (Zhu Yuanzhang later founded the Ming Dynasty).

The Battle of Kunyang (昆陽之戰)

When Wang Mang, who usurped West Han Dynasty to become Emperor of the short new Xin Dynasty he set up, sent 430,000 troops to attack Kunyang, the 9,000 rebels in Kunyang wanted to scatter or flee to Jingzhou to protect their relatives and assets as they were greatly outnumbered by the Xin force. Liu Xiu (who later united China and set up East Han Dynasty), however, opposed their plan and told them to guard Kunyang. He alone convinced all the other leaders of the rebel troops that if they scattered they would fall easy prey to the enemy and lost not only their relatives and assets but also their own lives.

If the decision had been made by vote, Liu Xiu would certainly have been voted down as he was the only one that advocated fighting instead of fleeing. However, as his view was wise, the rebels eventually agreed to his view.

Liu went out of the city, gathered the about 20,000 troops outside the city, bravely attacked the enemy force encircling the city and hit them hard. Encouraged by Liu’s brave example, the troops in the city charged out fiercely into enemy ranks. Together with Liu’s force outside the city their less than 50,000 troops defeated Wang Mang’s 430,000 troops and almost annihilated them with the help of a sudden rainstorm.

Zhu Yuanzhang’s War of Resistance against Chen Youliang

At that time. Chen Youliang had the most powerful troops in China and decided to defeat Zhu Yuanzhang’s much smaller troops in Zhu’s much smaller area. He soon took Taiping that shielded Zhu’s capital Yingtian (now Nanjing). At that critical juncture, Zhu held a meeting of all his advisers to decide what to do.

All the advisers advocated giving up Yingtian either to run away or to retreat to Zijin Hill for defense. Only Liu Ji opposed their views. Liu told Zhu that they had nowhere to retreat to. If Yingtian had been lost, everything would have been lost. Zhu’s troops had to defend Yingtian to their death. There was no other way out.

Moreover, Liu pointed out that Chen, though strong, was arrogant. If seduced into an ambush deep in Zhu’s area, Chen’s troops could be defeated. Liu’s bravery inspired Zhu’s courage. He accepted Liu’s advice, fought bravely and wisely and finally defeated Chen Youliang. He had thus laid the foundation for the establishment of his Ming Dynasty.

Deng Xiaoping’s Southern Tour

The above are both decisions-making on war. What about decision-making on economic development and state governance? Deng Xiaoping’s Southern Tour was a good example.

Deng Xiaoping’s reform and opening up has opened the way for China to become rich and strong and greatly improve people’s living standards. However, when Deng’s ways had achieved initial successes, in 1989 the Tienanmen Incident caused a reverse to the old way of monolithic public ownership and planned economy. At the advanced age of over 90, Deng conducted his Southern Tour to bring China back to his ways of reform and opening-up almost alone, resulting in China’s more than 4 decades of continuous reform and opening-up that turned China from a very poor and backward country into world no. 2 economy with no. 1 position in many sectors of economy and technology.

Chapter 18 of Chan Kai Yee’s new book “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy”


China, Russia vow to work together to boost regional ties in talks on Asean sidelines


  • Wang Yi highlights ‘important high-level contacts’ between Beijing and Moscow in coming months, while Sergey Lavrov calls meeting ‘timely’
  • In separate talks, China, Russia and Indonesia agree to collaborate on food and energy security and ensure smooth supply chains

Kawala Xie

Published: 5:45pm, 13 Jul, 2023

image: Wang Yi Lavrov

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov meets Wang Yi, China’s top diplomat, in Jakarta on Thursday. Photo: Handout via Reuters

China and Russia reaffirmed ties and vowed to work together to strengthen regional cooperation in talks on the sidelines of the Asean summit in Jakarta.

Top Chinese diplomat Wang Yi also highlighted the “important high-level contacts” between Beijing and Moscow in the coming months when he met Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on Thursday.

“Against the backdrop of historic changes in the world, we always follow the important consensus of our heads of state, firmly support each other in protecting fundamental interests … promote a multipolar world and democratisation of relations,” Wang said in the meeting, according to Russian state news agency RIA Novosti.

“In the second half of the year, a number of important high-level contacts are expected. It is important for us to coordinate well, strengthen our bilateral and multilateral cooperation, and well implement the goals set by the leaders of our countries for the development of our relations.”

Lavrov described their talks as “timely”, according to the report. He said Russia would work with China to strengthen “Asean-centric mechanisms” while supporting the Southeast Asian alliance to play a constructive role in the Asia-Pacific region.

Russian lawmaker meets Xi in Beijing, saying Moscow can count on China’s ‘friendly shoulder’

Russian lawmaker meets Xi in Beijing, saying Moscow can count on China’s ‘friendly shoulder’

Wang and Lavrov also discussed international efforts to launch a peace negotiation process on Ukraine and agreed to boost coordination via global and regional platforms “in the interests of forming a more just and sustainable polycentric world order”, according to a Russian foreign ministry readout.

The meeting followed Chinese President Xi Jinping’s vow to deepen the partnership with Russia during Russian Federation Council Speaker Valentina Matviyenko’s visit to Beijing on Monday.

It also came after Nato lashed out at Russia’s aggression in Ukraine, Beijing’s ties with Moscow, and China’s alleged “coercive policies” that challenge the international order in a joint communique during its annual summit in Lithuania on Tuesday.

Nato leaders slam China over Russia ties and Taiwan threats in bloc’s strongest rebuke yet

In a separate meeting in Jakarta on Wednesday, China, Russia and Indonesia – chair of this year’s Asean summit – agreed to collaborate on food and energy security and ensure smooth supply chains in response to economic crises and amid geopolitical tensions.

Wang said trilateral cooperation between the three Group of 20 nations would help to promote regional peace and security.

“China, Russia and Indonesia are both representatives of emerging markets and important members of the G20. To carry out exchanges and cooperation is in line with the common interests of the three countries and will help promote the process of multilateralism and promote regional peace and stability,” Wang was quoted as saying in a Chinese foreign ministry readout.

Wang is attending the annual Association of Southeast Asian Nations gathering – which began on Wednesday – in place of Foreign Minister Qin Gang, who is missing the summit because of “health reasons”.

Russia’s foreign ministry also said the country was willing to coordinate efforts with China and Indonesia on food and energy security, in a statement after Lavrov took part in the trilateral meeting.

In her opening remarks at the talks, Indonesian Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi said her country was always open to dialogue that would benefit global peace and prosperity while reaffirming its commitment to upholding international laws.

China’s top diplomat Wang Yi, Indonesian Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov meet in Jakarta on Wednesday. Photo: AP (image omitted)

The war in Ukraine has severely disrupted global food and energy supply chains, and Russia has threatened to quit a landmark Black Sea grain deal that is due to expire on Monday.

China is the largest recipient of grains under the deal, which was brokered by the United Nations and Turkey in July last year to allow Ukrainian grain exports to be shipped through the Black Sea amid the conflict. Beijing has repeatedly called for grain exports to be guaranteed.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is also attending the Asean summit and is expected to press Asia-Pacific nations to tackle China’s growing economic and military influence in the region, with the South China Sea disputes set to dominate.

China has often criticised the US and Nato for “fanning the flames” of the war in Ukraine and over their expansion in the Asia-Pacific.

The Chinese foreign ministry responded to Nato’s joint communique on Wednesday by urging the security alliance not to interfere in nations’ internal affairs and initiate “bloc confrontations” in the Asia-Pacific region.

In a separate bilateral meeting with Retno on Thursday, Wang said China would continue to support Asean to play a greater role in international and regional affairs.

“China and Asean will jointly inject more stability and certainty into a world full of turmoil,” he said.

Source: SCMP “China, Russia vow to work together to boost regional ties in talks on Asean sidelines”

Note: This is SCMP’s report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


New Zealand, in recession and heading to polls, goes pragmatic on China trade


Asia Pacificcategory · July 3, 2023 · 12:20 PM GMT+8

New Zealand Prime Minister Chris Hipkins trod a careful line on his first trip to China last week as leader, focusing on trade and economic opportunities but avoiding contentious issues such as human rights abuses in Xinjiang or security concerns.

Source: Reuters “New Zealand, in recession and heading to polls, goes pragmatic on China trade”

Note: This is Reuters’ report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


With eye on China, Japan to deepen ties with NATO at key leaders’ summit


Prime Minister Fumio Kishida speaks during a joint media briefing in Tokyo with NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg on Jan. 31. | POOL / VIA REUTERS (image omitted)

BY GABRIEL DOMINGUEZ

STAFF WRITER

Jul 2, 2023

More support for Ukraine, a new NATO office in Tokyo and a new partnership agreement with the world’s most powerful military alliance are set to top Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s agenda when he attends the NATO leaders’ summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, next week.

Kishida, who last year became the first Japanese prime minister to attend such a gathering, is set to join the summit on July 11 and 12 with the leaders of South Korea, Australia and New Zealand. Informally known as the Asia-Pacific Four, these countries, which have been part of NATO’s “global partners” group since the early 2010s, are also expected to enter deeper partnerships with the trans-Atlantic alliance.

The planned transition to NATO’s new Individually Tailored Partnership Program (ITPP) later this year also appears far more advanced than initially reported, with the Vilnius summit likely to see the new partnerships approved for each of the four countries, Jamie Shea, a former deputy assistant secretary-general for emergency security challenges at NATO, told The Japan Times.

“The ITPPs have been negotiated and approved at the ambassador level,” said Shea, who is now a professor at the University of Exeter in England, adding that the leaders would use the summit to “endorse and highlight them as a mark of progress.”

What exactly the ITPPs will mean for each of the Asia-Pacific countries is not entirely clear, as few details have emerged. In general, however, these engagement frameworks — based on a partner’s individual capacities, needs and interests — provide opportunities to develop interoperability with NATO militaries as well as a platform for engaging and sharing information about a variety of security issues.

“Adopting the ITPPs will surely be an important development, but it is mainly a bureaucratic innovation,” said Michito Tsuruoka, an international security expert and associate professor at Keio University, adding that what will matter most is what new kinds of cooperation will become possible under the framework.

Japan sees closer cooperation with NATO as a means of expanding its security engagement with its members. The aim is to strengthen deterrence by forging closer strategic ties and interoperability, while simultaneously building bridges between U.S. alliances in both the trans-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific regions, said Celine Pajon, a Japan expert at the French Institute of International Relations.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg talks to reporters as he arrives for a European Council Summit, at EU headquarters in Brussels on Thursday. | AFP-JIJI

At the same time, by engaging as many partners as possible, Tokyo aims to avoid being caught in a precarious position between Washington and Beijing, the expert said. Pajon said that Japan’s ITPP will likely aim to facilitate information-sharing, enhance resilience against common threats and address challenges in cyberspace, outer space and maritime domains.

At the summit itself, Kishida is expected to emphasize the importance of Japan-NATO cooperation for securing the Indo-Pacific, and by doing so help to further entrench Tokyo’s own security agenda, said Sebastian Maslow, a Japan security expert and lecturer at Sendai Shirayuri Women’s College.

“Similar to Kishida’s initiative at the G7 summit, I would also expect Tokyo to emphasize the specific regional security threats posed, for example by China with regard to maritime security and peace across the Taiwan Strait, or by North Korea’s missile and nuclear programs,” Maslow said.

Kishida, who will visit the alliance’s headquarters in Brussels after the summit, is also likely to work toward connecting growing security frameworks such as “the Quad” and multilateral groupings with NATO.

“Improving coordination in this way is important to avoid the complex web of overlapping cooperation agreements emerging between different Atlantic and Pacific nations from becoming a burden to navigate,” said James Black, assistant director of defense at Rand Europe, part of the nonprofit Rand Corp. “Otherwise, the risk is that these frameworks become talking shops, rather than the basis for concrete actions.”

Japan, which has already joined NATO for several cyber, air and naval exercises, has also expressed its intention to regularly participate as an observer in the North Atlantic Council — the alliance’s principal political decision-making body — as well as its meetings of defense chiefs.

Meanwhile, Kishida will also want to make the case for setting up a liaison office in Tokyo — which would be the alliance’s first in Asia — sometime next year.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg and Prime Minister Fumio Kishida hold a joint media briefing on Jan. 31 in Tokyo. | POOL / VIA REUTERS (image omitted)

Resistance from French President Emmanuel Macron has complicated the move, with Paris saying NATO should remain focused on its own region. To try and persuade France, which could veto the plan, other member states are expected to argue that the office will be critical to implementing Individually Tailored Partnership Programs.

“If the opening of a modest NATO office in Tokyo is directly linked to coordinating the ITPP with local partners, it may be more acceptable to France,” said Pajon.

That said, most discussions at the NATO summit will revolve around the war in Ukraine and how the alliance can increase support for Kyiv. Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov said last month that Kyiv expects to receive a clear signal and “formula” at the summit for the country to join the alliance.

Experts, however, doubt that NATO will go that far.

“It seems Ukraine will not be offered a clear timeline to membership, but only an enhanced partnership and a clear reiteration of the prospect for its future membership,” said Paal Sigurd Hilde, a NATO expert at the Norwegian Institute for Defense Studies.

Ukraine will not be able to join NATO while the war continues, as under the alliance’s Article 5 this would commit the allies to entering the war against Russia.

Currently, the allies are debating a package of measures for Ukraine which, while short of actual membership, will show that the NATO-Ukraine relationship is moving forward, according to Shea.

One initiative under discussion is to upgrade the NATO-Ukraine Commission — a joint consultative mechanism — into a council, while another would be to launch a NATO program and fund to assist the Ukrainian army in becoming fully interoperable with the alliance and adhering to its standards. Such a program would facilitate Ukraine’s integration at a later stage.

A third proposal, coming from NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, is not to apply NATO’s Membership Action Plan (MAP) to Ukraine and say that Kyiv has already met many of the political and military requirements for membership.

“The requirement for a MAP was waived in the case of Finland and Sweden so they could be fast-tracked into the alliance,” Black said. “Some NATO allies are thus asking why Ukraine should have to jump through this hoop, especially when its armed forces have proven their capabilities on the battlefield.”

The idea is that once the war is over, a membership decision can be taken fairly quickly.

A Ukrainian serviceman sits on a T-72 tank at a position in the country’s Donetsk region on Sunday. | AFP-JIJI

The allies may also discuss security guarantees for Ukraine short of NATO membership, although Kyiv expects these will be supplied on a bilateral basis by the United States and European countries such as Britain or Poland, rather than the full alliance.

Allies will also commit to supporting Ukraine with weapons and military assistance for the longer term as few believe that a Ukrainian offensive, even if successful, will enable the country to liberate all of its occupied territories for the foreseeable future, Shea said.

Besides deepening engagements with the like-minded Asia Pacific nations, other topics on the NATO agenda will be the approval of defense plans for Central and Eastern Europe and enhancing the allies’ resilience against hybrid threats from both Russia and China.

Other key issues will be the position of Turkey and Hungary on Sweden’s NATO membership, and the alliance’s defense spending targets. Member states are looking to agree on 2% gross domestic product as the minimum the allies are expected to devote to defense, re-framing the spending pledge as “a floor, not a ceiling,” according to Black.

Increasing support for Ukraine is also something that is expected to be high on Kishida’s agenda. Japan’s reaction to the Ukraine conflict has not only been swift but also comprehensive, with Tokyo providing Kyiv with a mix of humanitarian, financial and nonlethal military aid in the form of surveillance drones, bulletproof vests, helmets, transport vehicles, tents and medical supplies.

Unlike the United States and many European countries, pacifist Japan has not delivered weapons due to guidelines that effectively ban arms exports. But the winds are shifting in Tokyo, as the ruling coalition looks to reach an agreement on how to modify the guidelines on the export of lethal weapons.

Source: Japan Times “With eye on China, Japan to deepen ties with NATO at key leaders’ summit”

Note: This is Japan Times’ report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


Sri Lanka will stay neutral in China-India rivalry: Foreign Minister Ali Sabry


  • The island nation’s top diplomat said it would be better for the two Asian powers and the world if they could resolve their differences
  • Ali Sabry also expressed confidence in his country’s continuing efforts to finalise debt restructure negotiations after last year’s crisis

Laura Zhou

Published: 2:00pm, 29 Jun, 2023

Sri Lankan foreign minister Ali Sabry (left) with his Chinese counterpart Qin Gang in Beijing on Sunday. Photo: EPA

Sri Lanka will not take sides between China and India, nor will it do anything to harm either country, the island’s top diplomat said, amid concerns that countries in the region could get caught in the crossfire of intensifying tensions between the Asian powers.

“We want India and China to talk to each other and resolve their differences and that will be better for both countries, better for the world,” Sri Lankan Foreign Minister Ali Sabry, said in an exclusive interview with the South China Morning Post.

Relations between Beijing and New Delhi have been deteriorating since their border clashes in the Himalayas turned deadly in 2020, raising fears that tensions could spill beyond the contested region.

Sri Lanka was drawn into the dispute last summer, when India lodged a verbal protest over its agreement for a People’s Liberation Army naval vessel’s planned visit to Hambantota.

New Delhi is concerned that the Chinese-built and leased port in Sri Lanka, strategically positioned at the top of the Indian Ocean, could be used by Beijing as a military base in India’s backyard.

Disagreements have continued to mount, with China and India ejecting most of each other’s journalists in a tit-for-tat row earlier this month.

And, in a move that may further upset Beijing, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi last week signed agreements in Washington that will enable India to build engines for its next-generation indigenous fighter jets.

During his state visit to Washington, Modi also signed India on to the Artemis Accords, a US-led legal framework to govern behaviour on the moon and the peaceful use of space.

Neither China nor Russia are signatories to the accords, which are widely seen as part of a US attempt to build an alliance in space as part of its rivalry with Beijing.

Speaking at the Sri Lankan embassy in Beijing on Wednesday, Sabry said his country would remain neutral between its closest neighbour India and China, a top source of foreign investment.

“We have made it very clear to both China and India that we are open to do business with anyone and we will not do anything to harm the other party,” he said.

Sabry, who was finance minister at the start of Sri Lanka’s economic crisis last year, also said he was confident the government would be able to finalise its debt restructure negotiations by September.

Sri Lanka, with a population of 22 million, failed to repay its enormous foreign loans for the first time since its independence from Britain in 1948 after the unprecedented economic crisis.

Sabry said the Sri Lankan government was reflecting on the policy mistakes that led to the economic and political turmoil.

Sri Lanka is in talks with India, Japan and France under a common platform for its debt restructuring programme. China, which holds about 10 per cent of the island’s total foreign debt, is in bilateral talks with the island nation.

Sri Lanka secures long-awaited US$2.9 billion IMF bailout after China-backed debt-restructuring plan (video omitted)

Sabry said it was not a surprise that China did not take part in the common debt restructure platform, citing “concerns” from Beijing.

“We understand different countries have their own priorities and interests, and we are thankful to China for continuing to talk to us and be good to us,” he said.

As its economy stabilises, Sri Lanka is also looking for investment and trade to turn around its struggling prospects.

Last month, President Ranil Wickremesinghe suggested that his country would apply for membership of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), a free-trade agreement between 15 Asia-Pacific economies, including China and Australia.

According to Sabry, Sri Lanka also sent an invitation to Beijing “some time ago” to resume bilateral trade agreement talks. “Hopefully we will agree on the date very soon and start negotiating,” he said.

Sabry said Sri Lanka had no preference between RCEP membership and an agreement with China.

“RCEP and a bilateral free trade agreement can go hand in hand. China is very important for us that we want to start the negotiations with China and conclude that as soon as possible,” he said.

Source: SCMP “Sri Lanka will stay neutral in China-India rivalry: Foreign Minister Ali Sabry”

Note: This is Reuters’ report I post here for readers’ information. It does not mean whether I agree or disagree with the report’s views.


Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy 17


Choice of Best for Performing Obligations v. Competition for Power, Interest, Perks

Campaign for State Leader, a Competition for Power,. Interests, Perks in a Liberal Democracy

The position of a state leader, normally a president or prime minister, is accompanied with great power and intrests including high income and perks; therefore, candidate fight for the position may mostly aim at obtaining the power and interests instead of the obligations to serve the country.

As candidates pursue their personal interests, they certainly do not want anybody to monopoly the job whether or not the job may be monopolied by somebody with with exceptional talents as a state ;eader.

A Party wants its candidate elected to enhance its power for its interests, as various parties pursue their respective interests and as the successful election of their candidates will greatly facilitate realization of their interests, they certainly do not want others’ monopoly of the job with great power.

Due to the great power and interests a state leader has, potential candidates fight fiercely for their personal gains and the gains of their party instead of the benefits of their country and the people in general. That often makes election campaigns for state leader dirty especially the employment of such dirty tricks as mud slinging.

As people and parties have grown rich and influential, more and more people and parties have the resources and ambition to have them and their members elected as state leaders, they certainly want to establish some rules to put an end to above-mentioned monopoly. With the excuse of equal opportunity and avoidance of autocracy. Most presidential liberal democracies set limit to the tenure of state ;eaders. In the US, the limit is two terms of four years, while there are limits to number. and length of terms in other liberal democracies. Though a realy competent state leader is rare and difficult to find, they would not allow a proved good leader longer terms to serve their people,

China’s Leader Nominated by Retiring Leader to Continue serving the people

China is a country led by the Chinese Communist Party ((CCP), a party that puts the people first and regards serving the people as its goal. The Party’s leader Xi Jinping is the core of its leadership. He was selected by retired leader Jiang Zemin and approved by Jiang’s associates as competent to continue the Party’s service for the people. That is why Xi as China’s leader gives some details of his state serving the people as follows in his report to CCP 20th National Congress:

“We have implemented a people-centered philosophy of development. We have worked continuously to ensure people’s access to childcare, education, employment, medical services, elderly care, housing, and social assistance, thus bringing about an all-around improvement in people’s lives. China’s average life expectancy has reached 78.2 years, its per capita disposable annual income has risen from 16,500 yuan to 35,100 yuan, and more than 13 million urban jobs have been created each year on average over the past 10 years. We have built the largest education, social security, and healthcare systems in the world. These achievements have allowed us to make historic strides in making education universally available, bring 1.04 billion people under the coverage of basic old-age insurance, and ensure basic medical insurance for 95 percent of the population. Timely adjustments have been made to the childbirth policy. More than 42 million housing units in run-down urban areas and more than 24 million dilapidated rural houses have been rebuilt, marking a significant improvement in housing conditions in both urban and rural areas. The number of internet users has reached 1.03 billion. We have ensured a more complete and lasting sense of fulfillment, happiness, and security for our people, and we have made further progress in achieving common prosperity for all.”

Chapter 17 of Chan Kai Yee’s new book “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics v. Liberal Democracy”