I describe the superiority of China’s space-air strategy in my book Space Era Strategy: The Way China Beats The U.S. China’s recent launch of its mobile CZ-VI rocket capable of launching 20 separate satellites with one rocket and successful tests of hypersonic glide vehicles have proved my point.
In my post “China Shows Muscle by Launching 20 Satellites with One Rocket” on September 21, I regarded as China showing its muscle China’s launch on September 20 of its Changzheng VI (CZ-5) rocket that sent 20 satellites separately using liquid fuel as the rocket can be used as an ICBM with 20 MIRV warheads.
True enough, the next day China’s major military media mil.huanqiu.com published photos to show that the rocket was a mobile one carried on a vehicle that can carry it to a launch site to be erected and launched in no time. I gave my post on September 22 the title “China’s CZ-VI Rocket Puts an End to U.S. Nuclear Superiority” to prove my point that the launch of the rocket was indeed a case of showing China’s muscle before Xi’s visit.
U.S. media Daily Beast’s article on September 29, however, seems to regard as the case of showing muscle the successful maiden test flight of China’s “hypersonic” aircraft that was reported by cannews.com.cn on September 18.
Indeed that report on the test went immediately viral on the Internet, but according to Daily Beast’s article, the report was “either retracted or censored” “a few days later”. If so, it certainly is not a case of showing muscle.
On the other hand, the launch of CZ-VI was reported by Chinese government’s mouthpiece CCTV in its primetime news and in greater details by China’s major military media mil.huanqiu.com to attain the goal of showing China’s muscle.
I had not learnt the report on the test of the “hypersonic aircraft” until September 27 when I saw mil.huanqiu.com’s report on cannews.com.cn’s report. I searched cannews.com.cn website but could not find the report. I gave a summary of mil.huanqiu.com’s report in my post “The Mystery of China’s Hypersonic Flying Vehicle”.
Daily Beast’s article regards the test as a test of manned hypersonic aircraft, but in fact according to mil.huanqiu.com’s quotes of cannews.com.cn’s report, the report does not mention whether the aircraft is manned or hypersonic. The description in the report can be interpreted as a test in the field of hypersonic technology conducted by a new aircraft capable of flying at a speed and height much greater than the aircrafts China has ever tested.
Mil.huanqiu.com has no conclusion what kind of aircraft is tested in the report; therefore, I said in my summary “I can only say that it is indeed a mystic test of a mystic aircraft.”
What I am sure is that China’s space-air technology is much superior to U.S. Air-sea Battle strategy.
Daily Beast says, “In October 1967, the X-15 rocket plane—the product of collaboration between the U.S. Air Force and NASA—achieved Mach 6.7 with pilot William Knight at the controls.”
U.S. space shuttles were indeed aerospace aircrafts that can fly at hypersonic speed out of the atmosphere.
However, for more five decades, the U.S. has still failed to make any hypersonic flying vehicle and has now been caught up by China who started the research much later.
Why? China’s space program is a part of its military efforts while US military is separated from NASA. Space-air strategy integrates China’s space and air efforts while U.S. Air-sea Battle does not include NASA.
China regards space-air capabilities as its priority as acquisition of the capability to attack U.S. homeland with aerospace aircraft or hypersonic weapons is vital for its active defense strategy. The U.S., however, allocates an insignificant part of its military budget to the development of hypersonic weapons.
That was why I said that U.S. political and military leaders were strategy illiterates.
Source: mil.huanqiu.com “Does China’s hypersonic flying vehicle look like that?” (summary by Chan Kai Yee based on the report in Chinese)
Source: Daily Beast “Did China Just Hit Mach 5?”
The following is the full text of Daily Beast’s report:
Did China Just Hit Mach 5?
A news report describes a landmark event: the flight of an airplane that can go twice as fast as the Concorde. Then, just as quick, the report vanishes. What just happened?
On a night apparently in early September, at a flight test center somewhere in China, a dark-painted airplane reportedly took off on a momentous mission—to fly faster than five times the speed of sound, then return safely to Earth.
The airborne experiment, allegedly involving a manned aircraft with a human pilot aboard, marked a huge leap forward for China as it competes with the United States to develop warplanes and missiles capable of so-called “hypersonic” flight—so fast that they’re almost impossible to shoot down or dodge.
Yes, the September test was a massive technological step. But only if … it actually happened. For as suddenly and dramatically as the news of the aerial trial broke, it quickly evaporated. Now it’s not clear what, if anything, actually occurred in the sky over that Chinese airfield.
Reporter Qi Shengjun from China Aviation News is, so far, the sole source for the potentially world-changing development, one that could give Beijing an enormous military edge over Washington. In a dispatch dated September 18, Qi breathlessly described the nighttime test—the “roar of the engine,” the dark-painted aircraft as it “disappeared in the sky,” the “excitement” and “indescribable emotion” of the test team on the ground.
“A few hours after takeoff, the task is complete,” Qi wrote, adding a literary fluorish as he compared the test plane’s landing to the sheathing of a sword. “When the ‘aircraft brake’ instruction is issued, this mission comes to a successful conclusion. The original anxiety and tension is instantly released—applause, laughter sounding in the control room.”
“The flight test center achieved a breakthrough in the field of hypersonic flight.”
But Qi’s news report appeared only briefly at the state-run website of China Aviation News. A few days later, the story was gone—either retracted or censored.
The Chinese Communist Party keeps a close eye on the country’s media and routinely suppresses stories it’s not comfortable with. An army of censors working for the Public Security Bureau scours news sites and blogs and other social media sites, yanking any material considered politically sensitive. The censors pay close attention to any Web content describing Chinese military capabilities.
Now, at any other time the Party might have been happy to celebrate yet another breakthrough in China’s rapidly developing high-tech weapons industry. But mid-September marked Chinese President Xi Jinping’s first official visit to the United States.
In talks with President Barack Obama, Xi struck a conciliatory tone—vowing to crack down on cybercrime, for instance, and also proposing to team up with the U.S. government to shut down the illegal ivory trade that’s driving the slaughter of an estimated 30,000 elephants every year.
Maybe September wasn’t the best time to shove a new hypersonic aircraft test in America’s face. Maybe Qi’s report was overeager; hypersonic engineering is a notoriously difficult-to-master discipline.
Whatever the reason, Qi’s dispatch disappeared. But that shouldn’t necessarily cast doubt on the underlying premise of his reporting. For years now—decades, even—China and the United States have been making uneven progress toward the very kind of high-tech achievement Qi described.
Hypersonic aircraft are not new. In October 1967, the X-15 rocket plane—the product of collaboration between the U.S. Air Force and NASA—achieved Mach 6.7 with pilot William Knight at the controls. That speed record for a manned aircraft still stands.
More recently, the Pentagon has been tinkering with a number of unmanned hypersonic missiles and gliders that it hopes to turn into weapons someday. But it’s no easy task to design a vehicle that can travel faster than Mach 5 reliably and safely while also being affordable.
Around half of recent U.S. hypersonic tests have ended in failure. More than 40 years after the X-15’s first flight, the Pentagon is still struggling to deploy a hypersonic aircraft it can use in day-to-day operations.
Undaunted, in 2013 Lockheed Martin proposed to build a Mach-6 spy plane for the Air Force. “Speed is the next aviation advancement to counter emerging threats in the next several decades,” Brad Leland, Lockheed Martin’s hypersonics program manager, said in a company press release.
Not to be outdone, Boeing is working on a prototype drone space plane for the military’s fringe-science Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency. The company hopes the XS-1 will reach speeds up to Mach 10, allowing the robotic plane to boost small rockets into low orbit starting as early as 2019.
While America doggedly pursued high-speed aircraft, China raced to catch up. A few years ago, Beijing built the world’s largest wind tunnel capable of simulating conditions up to Mach 9. In 2012, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation tested a new rocket-style, solid-fuel engine for hypersonic flights. Two years later, Chinese engineers began a series of tests of a Mach-10 glider called the WU-14 that could form the basis of a new missile or drone.
The new research warranted a mention in the 2015 edition of the Pentagon’s annual report on the Chinese military. Beijing “is developing and testing several new classes and variants of offensive missiles, including hypersonic glide vehicles,” the report warned.
But if Qi’s reporting is accurate—if a manned hypersonic plane just completed a successful first flight—and if that plane someday proves suitable for routine use, then China would no longer be just trying to catch up to the United States when it comes to flying Mach 5 or faster.
Indeed, China might have zoomed right past America, potentially taking the lead in super-speedy airplanes.
Major Chinese military media mil.huanqiu.com publishes photos today of Chinese oil rigs to the southwest of China’s Hainan Island and the patrol amphibious aircraft and ship that protect the oil rigs. The waters to the southwest of China’s Hainan Island are close to Vietnam where there was serious standoff between Chana and Vietnam when a Chinese oil rig operated there last year.
Mil.huanqiu.com says in the report that publishes the photos that China conducted its first air-sea three dimensional patrol on September 25 with the goal “to ensure navigation safety and protect ocean environment”. The total mileage of the patrol is 300 nautical miles covering the usual shipping route and the areas around Chinese drill platforms Yacheng 13-1 and Dongfang 1-1.
The shipping route is near Vietnam and the distance between Hainan and Vietnam is only 140 nautical miles; therefore the 300 nautical mile patrol certainly covers most of the disputed waters between China and Vietnam.
Source: mil.huanqiu.com “Aerial photos of drill platforms in the sea area to the southwest of Hainan Island” (summary by Chan Kai Yee based on the report in Chinese)
On the eve of the opening of Tianjin Helicopter Expo on September 9, reporters of China’s mil.huanqiu.com and aviation news weekly interviewed Hong Jiao, vice general manager of AVIC Helicopter and Director of AVIC Helicopter Design Research Institute on development of Chinese helicopters.
Hong says that now China has the capability of independent research, development and mass production of third-generation helicopters and is conducting research and development of a new fourth-generation helicopter. It is expected that China will have the capability of series production of such helicopters by the end of the thirteenth Five-year Plan (2016-2020).
Information about China’s fourth-generation helicopters is classified, but according to Hong, in the future, more importance will be attached to the integrated functions of a helicopter; therefore, a certain technology in China’s fourth-generation helicopter may be not as good as declassified Z-10 regarded as China’s Apache, but those in many other respects will be better than Z-10.
Hong says that there have already been concepts of fifth- and sixth-generation helicopter in the world. What he can reveal is that China’s exploration of its future helicopters is not limited to fourth generation.
Source: mil.huanqiu.com “China’s fourth-generation helicopter may begin mass production by 2020: It surpasses Z-10 in many respects” (summary by Chan Kai Yee based on the report in Chinese)
China’s major official media mil.huanqiu.com cites Jane’s Defence Weekly’s report that China is discussing with Russia on the development of a new heavy helicopter. China has no experience in making such heavy helicopters so that it wants Russia’s cooperation as it found Russian Mi-26’ heavy helicopter’s performance very satisfactory for the relief work for the earthquake disaster in Wenchuan.
Jane’s says that China hopes to make a heavy helicopter with maximum takeoff weight of 38.2 tons, cruise speed of 300 km/hour, flight ceiling of 5,700 meters, range of 630 km, internal load of 10 and external load of 15 tons. That will be quite an impressive achievement as it is similar in performance to US CH-53K heavy helicopter, which has a cruise speed of 261 km/hour, range of 852 km, ceiling of 4,383 meters and maximum load of 15.9 tons.
Russia proposed the revival of scrapped Soviet Mi-46 project, but China wants an entirely new project. Through much discussion, the two countries signed an orientation agreement in May 2015.
Mil.huanqiu.com says that according to Russian media, China is strong in synthetic materials, electronic navigation, etc. while Russia is strong in engines, pneumatic design, transmission, etc. The two supplement each other in developing the helicopter. According to Chinese sources, China is quite active in discussing with Russia and hopes that the actual work of research and development will begin in 2016 so as to conduct test flight of the helicopter soon.
Source: mil.huenqiu.com “Jane’s is finding a ‘father’ for China’s heavy helicopter: Profound reasons for Chinese-Russian cooperation” (summary by Chan Kai Yee based on the report in Chinese)
Recently news about China’s test of a new type of high-speed flying vehicle is viral on Chinese Internet.
What attracts web users’ keen attention is the cannews.com.cn’s report cited by a Chinese website about a recent very difficult maiden flight test of a certain type of aircraft at a certain Chinese test flight base.
The test is difficult as it is the test of a “trans-generation flying vehicle” with its unique manner of the flight, far greater speed and height and the short time allowed for preparations of the test. The professional of the test flight team are in charge of the various tasks of design, planning and command for the test flight.
According to the report, a few hours after taking off, the task of flight was completed. A dark-colored aircraft was seen diving close to the runway of the airfield. It then flattened and landed smoothly. The report says, “The test flight this time realized the test center’s breakthrough in the area of hypersonic test flight. It marks the increasing maturity of the test center in the area of test flight technology of that type of aircraft.”
There has been much speculation what kind of hypersonic flying vehicle it is in the report. Some believe that it is a hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV), but the test of an HGV does not take hours.
Others regard the aircraft tested is something like US X-51A but people doubt whether China has the technology to have a hypersonic aircraft like X-51A flying for hours.
Still others believe that the new aircraft is not hypersonic but something flying faster than existing aircrafts.
I have searched cannews.com.cn website but failed to find the report. Perhaps it cannot be found due to the secrecy. I can only say that it is indeed a mystic test of a mystic aircraft.
Source: mil.huanqiu.com “Does China’s hypersonic flying vehicle look like that?” (summary by Chan Kai Yee based on the report in Chinese)
This blogger has repeatedly explained in his posts that there is no need for China to militarize the artificial islands it has built in the South China Sea now unless the U.S. conducts military provocation there.
As the islands can easily be militarized to function as a few unsinkable aircraft carriers, China now is able to control of the South China Sea with those islands whenever it wants. In addition, aircraft carriers are costly to maintain while the large investment in building the islands can be recovered through the development of tourism, fishery, fish farming and oil and gas exploration and exploitation.
Since according to Reuters’ report titled “U.S., China agree on rules for air-to-air military encounters”, China has concluded agreements with U.S. on a military hotline and rules of behavior to govern air-to-air encounters, there will be no such provocation. It would have been foolish for Xi to militarize the islands now. That is why Xi said in Washington as quoted in Reuters report, “Relevant construction activity that China is undertaking in the Nansha Islands does not target or impact any country and there is no intention to militarize,”
However, we cannot deny that with the potential of militarization of the artificial islands, China’s dominance of the South China Sea has been established.
Article by Chan Kai Yee as comments on Reuters’ reports:
The following are the full text of Reuters’ reports:
Xi denies China turning artificial islands into military bases
WASHINGTON By David Brunnstrom and Michael Martina Sep 25, 2015
U.S. President Barack Obama expressed concerns about Chinese militarization of artificial islands in the South China Sea to China’s President Xi Jinping on Friday, but Xi denied any plan to establish military strongholds there.
Obama said their summit talks included a “candid” discussion on Asia-Pacific disputes, focusing on growing tensions in the South China Sea where China has competing territorial claims with several Southeast Asian countries.
“I conveyed to President Xi our significant concerns over land reclamation, construction and the militarization of disputed areas, which makes it harder for countries in the region to resolve disagreements peacefully,” Obama said.
He spoke with Xi at his side during a joint news conference in the White House Rose Garden. The Chinese leader is on his first state visit to the United States.
China has said repeatedly that the artificial islands it has built up on disputed reefs would be used for military defense and analysts say satellite pictures show it has completed one military length runway and appears to be working on two more.
Admiral Harry Harris, commander of U.S. forces in the Pacific, told the Aspen Security Forum in July that China was building hangers on one of the reefs – Fiery Cross – that appeared to be for tactical fighter aircraft.
Xi, however, denied that militarization was taking place.
“Relevant construction activity that China is undertaking in the Nansha Islands does not target or impact any country and there is no intention to militarize,” Xi said, using the Chinese name for the disputed Spratly archipelago.
“Islands in the South China Sea since ancient times are Chinese territory,” Xi said. “We have the right to uphold our own territorial sovereignty and lawful legitimate maritime rights and interests.”
Xi also reiterated that China is committed to freedom of navigation in the sea and to resolving disputes through dialogue. He said Beijing and Washington had a shared interest in this regard.
Washington analysts and U.S. officials say the militarization of the islands has already begun and the only question is how much military hardware China will install.
U.S. experts say satellite photos from early this month also show China was carrying out dredging work around the artificial islands, a month after saying it had stopped.
Harris said last week that China’s runway building and further militarization of the artificial islands was of “great concern” and posed a threat to all countries in the region.
Jane’s Defense Weekly published new satellite images of Fiery Cross taken on Sept. 20 that it said showed China had completed the runway on the reef and was moving closer to making it operational.
Jane’s said completion of the runway could allow China to accelerate construction of infrastructure and to start air patrols over the disputed islands.
(Reporting by David Brunnstrom, Michael Martina, Julia Edwards, Jeff Mason and Roberta Rampton; Editing by David Storey, Frances Kerry and Ken Wills)
U.S., China agree on rules for air-to-air military encounters
WASHINGTON By Phil Stewart Fri Sep 25, 2015 3:34pm EDT
The United States on Friday announced agreements with China on a military hotline and rules of behavior to govern air-to-air encounters, just days after the Pentagon criticized China over an unsafe intercept of a U.S. spy plane.
The agreements were unveiled following talks in Washington between Chinese President Xi Jinping and President Barack Obama and seek to lessen the chance of an accidental flare-up between the two militaries, despite tensions in the South China Sea.
“We agreed to new channels of communication to reduce the risks of miscalculations between our militaries,” Obama told a White House news conference with Xi standing beside him.
The new agreement on rules of behavior for air-to-air encounters was broad in scope, addressing everything from the correct radio frequencies to use during distress calls to the wrong physical behaviors to use during crises.
“Military aircrew should refrain from the use of uncivil language or unfriendly physical gestures,” read one provision of the agreement. (1.usa.gov/1G7zxTW)
Another agreement created formal rules to govern use of a military crisis hotline, a move that aims to speed top-level communication. (1.usa.gov/1iAw9vu)
The Pentagon says two Chinese JH-7 fighter jets intercepted an American RC-135 reconnaissance plane, with one passing within just 500 feet of the U.S. aircraft. The intercept took place on Sept. 15, about 80 miles (130 km) east of the Shandong peninsula in the Yellow Sea.
The Pentagon reported a far more dangerous intercept last year, when, in August 2014, a Chinese warplane flew as close as 20 to 30 feet (7 to 10 meters) to a U.S. Navy patrol jet and conducted a barrel roll over the plane.
One U.S. defense official said, the United States will expect “full compliance” with the agreement.
The intercepts are examples of moves seen as an assertion of the expanding reach of China’s military. This month, five Chinese Navy ships sailed in the Bering Sea off Alaska.
Closer to home, China’s territorial claims have stoked tensions. Beijing claims most of the South China Sea, through which $5 trillion in ship-borne trade passes every year.
The agreement sidesteps such territorial disputes by being “geographically neutral,” the U.S. defense official said.
But Obama said he had a “candid” discussion with Xi.
“I indicated that the United States will continue to sail, fly and operate anywhere that international law allows,” Obama said as Xi stood beside him.
(Reporting by Phil Stewart; Editing by Doina Chiacu, Bernard Orr)
China conducts the maiden test firing of its new PL-15 beyond visual range air-to-air missile. U.S. media The Daily Beast said in its report “The New Chinese Missile That Has the U.S. Air Force Spooked”, that on that very day, Gen. Herbert Carlisle, the head of the Air Force’s Air Combat Command, asked the rhetorical question in a speech at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C., “How do we counter that and what are we going to do to continue to meet that threat?”
According to Chinese media mil.huanqiu.com’s report yesterday, the website of U.S. media Popular Science monthly says in its report on September 23 that PL-15 has a range of 150 to 200 km longer than all U.S. air-to-air missiles in service.
In addition, it has longer active radar monitoring and anti-jamming data chain. Gen. Carlisle said that with an additional ramjet engine, the missile had a longer range to threaten not only US F-22 and F-35 stealth fighter jets but also U.S. bombers and aerial refueling aircrafts.
Source: The Daily Beast “The New Chinese Missile That Has the U.S. Air Force Spooked”, full text of which can be viewed at http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/25/the-new-chinese-missile-that-has-the-u-s-air-force-spooked.html?via=newsletter&source=DDAfternoon
Source: mil.huanqiu.com “Foreign media: China test-fired PL15 beyond-visual-range missile that had a U.S. general worried” (summary by Chan Kai Yee based on the report in Chinese)
Chinese scientists have discovered a “super material” that is a light as a balloon yet as strong as metal, which could be developed by the mainland’s military into armour that protects troops and tanks without sacrificing mobility, a mainland study reports.
The foam-like material was created when tiny tubes of graphene were formed into a cellular structure that had the same stability as a diamond, said the study led by researchers at the Chinese Academy of Sciences’ Shanghai Institute of Ceramics.
Grapheme, an extremely thin sheet of carbon with extraordinary properties, has attracted great interest among researchers in recent years.
It is about 207 times stronger than steel by weight and able to conduct heat and electricity with very high efficiency.
However, the new material was able to support something that was 40,000 times its own weight without bending, said the report in the latest issue of the journal, Advanced Materials.
One piece of the graphene foam withstood the impact of a blow that had a force of more than 14,500 pounds per square inch – almost as much pressure as is experienced at the deepest depth of the world’s ocean – about 10.9km – known as Challenger Deep, in the Mariana Trench, off the coast of the US island of Guam.
The Shanghai research team said their newly created material could withstand more external shocks than other previously reported graphene materials.
It could also be squashed to just 5 per cent of its original size and still return to its original shape, and remained intact after the process was repeated 1,000 times.
The properties of the new material meant one possible use could be as cushion under the surface of bulletproof vests and on the outside of tanks to absorb the shocks from incoming projectiles, the study said.
Source: SCMP “Chinese scientists’ new ‘super-strong foam’ could form lightweight tank and troop armour”
When you meet some retired PLA (People’s Liberation Army, Chinese military) officers in business, you find their deep hatred against retired Chinese President and Chairman of Central Military Commission Jiang Zemin. Later you learn from those who know them that they retired early from the PLA because they wanted to keep on doing business when Jiang Zemin banned business activities in the PLA.
It is common sense that the military shall be filled with military professionals proficient in military strategy, tactics, military leadership and operations of weapons instead of business. Promotion of military professionals and removing officers with business savvy without military skill was precisely what Jiang Zeming had to do to make Chinese military capable to fight. Jiang’s reform of the PLA pleased military professionals and gained their loyalty. Substitution of officers with military savvy for those with political and business savvy enabled Jiang. a military leader without military experience or achievement, to gain firm control of Chinese military.
When Xi Jinping took over leadership of Chinese military, like the time when Jiang took over, the military was again not controlled by military professionals. Lots of senior officers were promoted due to the bribes they gave to their superiors. Good military professionals who focused on improvement of their own military proficiency and the combat effectiveness of their troops are honest. They hate corruption in Chinese military and had no financial resources to give bribes to their superiors. As a result they were marginalized in Chinese military before Xi took over.
Having punished powerful retired generals who controlled Chinese military behind the scene, Xi proceeds to remove non-professionals who had got promotion due to corruption or political savvy. He conducted hard military training and drills to find those non-professionals who performed poorly in the training and drills and then he suddenly announced that he would reduce Chinese troops by 300,000, more than enough to remove all those he has found unsatisfactory in his troops.
Reuters says in its report “China military hints at strong opposition to large-scale troop cuts” that there would be strong resistance in Chinese military against the cuts. Certainly, reform is never easy but non-professional officers were not capable of any military revolt as low-ranking officers and soldiers will not follow the leadership of non-professionals because they look down on those who have no professional proficiency but have been promoted due to corruption or political savvy. They know well that only good military professionals are able to lead them to win the war with as little casualty as possible. They respect those professionals and are willing to be led by them.
Power struggle is a favorite topic for media outside China. They described Xi’s fight against corruption as power struggle and Xi denied that in his recent speech in the United States. That is really interesting.
Xi certainly knows if he wants to succeed in his drastic reforms, he shall first have dominant power to do so, i.e. he has to win power struggle to grab the power indispensable for his reform. It is not the kind of malicious power struggle in the past when Mao seized power back from his protégé Liu Shaoqi through the Cultural Revolution but a benign power struggle to eliminate corruption and reform Chinese military so that it will really be capable to fight.
Article by Chan Kai Yee as comments on Reuters’ report “China military hints at strong opposition to large-scale troop cuts” and Xi’s speech in the United States that his fight against corruption is not power struggle.
The following is the full text of Reuters’ report:
China military hints at strong opposition to large-scale troop cuts
BEIJING | By Ben Blanchard Mon Sep 21, 2015 5:03pm EDT
Bitterness is growing within China’s armed forces to President Xi Jinping’s decision to cut troop numbers by 300,000 and considerable effort will be needed to overcome opposition to the order, according to a source and commentaries in the military’s newspaper.
Xi made the unexpected announcement on Sept. 3 at a military parade in Beijing marking 70 years since the end of World War Two in Asia. The move would reduce by 13 percent one of the world’s biggest militaries, currently 2.3-million strong.
One government official, who meets regularly with senior officers, said some inside the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) felt the announcement had been rushed and taken by Xi with little consultation outside the Central Military Commission. Xi heads the commission, which has overall command of the military.
“It’s been too sudden,” the source told Reuters, speaking on condition of anonymity.
“People are very worried. A lot of good officers will lose their jobs and livelihoods. It’s going to be tough for soldiers.”
China’s Defence Ministry, in a statement sent to Reuters, said the “broad mass” of officers and soldiers “resolutely endorsed the important decision of the (Communist) Party center and Central Military Commission and obey orders”.
It has said the cuts, the fourth since the 1980s, would be mostly completed by the end of 2017.
Experts say the move is likely part of long-mooted rationalization plans, which have included changing the PLA command structure so it less resembles a Soviet-era model and spending more money on the navy and air force as Beijing asserts its territorial claims in the disputed South and East China Seas.
Soon after Xi’s announcement, the official Xinhua news agency published a long article quoted soldiers as supporting the decision.
Each branch of the armed forces believed the cuts would raise quality standards, Xinhua said.
Commentaries in the PLA Daily newspaper have since warned that the reductions would be hard to carry out. Chinese state media often run commentaries that reflect the official line of the institution publishing the newspaper.
The cuts come at a time of heightened economic uncertainty in China as growth slows, its stock markets tumble and the leadership grapples with painful but needed economic reforms.
China has previously faced protests from demobilized soldiers, who have complained about a lack of support finding new jobs or help with financial problems.
A protest by thousands of former soldiers over pensions was reported in June, although the Defence Ministry denied any knowledge of the incident.
The PLA is already reeling from Xi’s crackdown on deep-seated corruption in China, which has seen dozens of officers investigated, including two former vice chairmen of the Central Military Commission.
Barely a week after the Beijing parade, the PLA newspaper said the troop cuts and other military reforms Xi wished to undertake would require “an assault on fortified positions” to change mindsets and root out vested interests, and that the difficulties expected would be “unprecedented”.
If these reforms failed, measures still to come would be “nothing more than an empty sheet of paper”, it said.
It did not give details on the planned reforms.
But state media has said they will likely involve better integration of all PLA branches. As part of this move, China’s seven military regions, which have separate command structures that tend to focus on ground-based operations, are expected to be reduced.
There had been no previous suggestion big troop cuts were planned.
TROOP ENTERTAINERS TO GO
Another commentary in the PLA Daily published a week later detailed the kind of opposition Xi faced.
“Some units suffer from inertia and think everything’s already great. Some are scared of hardships, blame everyone and everything but themselves … They shirk work and find ways of avoiding difficulty,” the commentary said.
A second government source, who is close to the PLA, said military song and dance assemblies, which traditionally entertain troops, would be the first to go.
“The defense budget will not be cut. It will continue to gradually increase,” the source added.
China’s military budget for this year rose 10.1 percent to 886.9 billion yuan ($139.39 billion), the second largest in the world after the United States.
Some retired Chinese generals have supported the troop cuts.
“A bloated military can only cause ineffectual expenditure and forfeited battles,” retired Major-General Luo Yuan, a prominent Chinese military figure, wrote in the Global Times newspaper three days after Xi’s announcement.
Xu Guangyu, a retired major general and now a senior army arms control advisor said: “Our country’s military needs to take the path of modernization … These force reductions are an effort to stay on this path and increase quality not numbers.”
($1 = 6.36 Chinese yuan)
(Additional reporting by Michael Martina and Benjamin Kang Lim; Editing by Dean Yates)
China has developed its Z-10 (also codenamed as WZ-10) battle helicopter that it regards as China’s AH-64 Apache though due to lack of powerful engine, Z-10 cannot carry as heavy a load as AH-64. However, in my post “China Shows Off New Powerful Turboshafts for China’s Apache, Osprey” on September 11, I said that China had developed a much better Wozhou-16 engine to realize Z-10’s potential.
Now China has developed a new attack helicopter Z-19 better than Z-10. A real Z-19 helicopter is displayed in the third Tianjin Helicopter Expo from September 9 through September 13.
China’s official media mil.huanqiu.com published the above photos of Z-19 but gives no details of the helicopter.
Source: mil.huanqiu.com “Lots of Details of Z-19 new-type battle helicopter made public for the first time” (summary by Chan Kai Yee based on the report in Chinese)